TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Volodymyr Burylov
Home
1.83
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
117115119––––
Tomas Liska
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 23:06 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeVolodymyr Burylov to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Burylov above · Tomas Liska below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 54 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Volodymyr Burylov at 54.0%
54 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Burylov 6–7 Tomas Liska Volodymyr Burylov has won 6 of their 13 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 23:06What took a side1 for · 1 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Liska
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-7 in 13
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Burylov 1709 vs Liska 1647
Burylov
Correct
both rated, 63 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Burylov 40% vs Liska 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Burylov 50% vs Liska 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Burylov +1 · Liska -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 4 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Burylov)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Liska form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBurylov 1.83 / Liska 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Burylov)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13162055
Burylov1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Liska1.83
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeBurylov5wins
AwayLiska5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeBurylovn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayLiska55.6%5 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Burylov1Liska9n = 10Liska took 9 of 10
S2Burylov4Liska6n = 10Liska took 6 of 10
S3Burylov5Liska5n = 10split evenly
S4Burylov4Liska3n = 7Burylov took 4 of 7
S5Burylov4Liska1n = 5Burylov took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricBurylovLiskaB − LBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match40.342.3−2.0per matchSweeps03−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBurylovLiskaBasisWin rate · lifetime207 / 415 vs 401 / 86949.9%46.1%207 / 415 vs 401 / 869Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.740.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BurylovBurylov 1.83/Liska 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Burylov · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 18 · 12:00V. Burylov46512117112T. Liska531110811133
LAug 30 · 08:58V. Burylov32481191T. Liska4211119113
WAug 30 · 06:15V. Burylov588131111153T. Liska531111513132
LJul 11 · 18:15V. Burylov2661190T. Liska351113113
WJul 11 · 11:45V. Burylov49881111113T. Liska3911118272
WJul 5 · 07:45V. Burylov45711412113T. Liska47118111072
LJul 4 · 05:15V. Burylov279990T. Liska331111113
WMay 22 · 19:45V. Burylov3711411113T. Liska30511771
WMay 19 · 06:45V. Burylov577111213143T. Liska571191411122
LMay 9 · 07:00V. Burylov2679100T. Liska341111123
V. Burylov10
WSep 20 · 08:18V. Burylov1.501112113L. Svoboda2.5061080LSep 20 · 07:45M. Kocvara1.8391112113V. Burylov1.831181041LSep 20 · 06:45L. Svoboda2.00116135113V. Burylov1.73911111192LSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890WSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113WSep 19 · 19:15L. Svoboda2.007860V. Burylov1.731111113LSep 19 · 18:45V. Burylov1.83118114102M. Makara1.83411711123LSep 19 · 17:45V. Burylov1.6711126682L. Veigl2.107101111113WSep 18 · 20:43V. Burylov1.8311115113J. Sr1.83181131WSep 18 · 19:45L. Dobias1.73511671V. Burylov2.0011611113
T. Liska10
LSep 20 · 14:15L. Svoboda1.679111193T. Liska2.10117881LSep 18 · 13:09T. Liska2.101071161L. Svoboda1.6712117113WSep 18 · 12:00V. Burylov1.83512117112T. Liska1.831110811133WSep 18 · 11:00L. Dobias1.5085111152T. Liska2.50111197113LSep 18 · 09:30L. Svoboda1.67111145113T. Liska2.1093111162LSep 17 · 12:18M. Makara1.67117117113T. Liska2.1041181192LSep 17 · 11:15L. Svoboda1.67611611113T. Liska2.1011811592WSep 17 · 10:45T. Liska2.2511117113M. Makara1.57791131LSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska2.1011101110102O. Kaderabek1.67712912123LSep 15 · 12:44M. Kocvara2.5071211113T. Liska1.501110341
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.