TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Ondrej Kaderabek
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
711116211811––
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:34 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeOndrej Kaderabek to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOndrej Kaderabek above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 2-11
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 67 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Ondrej Kaderabek at 54.0%
67 points played in total.
H2H Ondrej Kaderabek 2–1 Volodymyr Burylov Volodymyr Burylov has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:34What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Kaderabek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-1 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kaderabek 1678 vs Burylov 1676
Kaderabek
Wrong
both rated, 2 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kaderabek 20% vs Burylov 40%
Burylov
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kaderabek 50% vs Burylov 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kaderabek -2 · Burylov -3
Burylov
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kaderabek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kaderabek form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKaderabek 1.73 / Burylov 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Kaderabek)+0.3pp
Setka Cup · #13166423
Kaderabek1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite59% won 38 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it93% 14 of 15
Up 1–0, closes it66% 19 of 29
Burylov2.00
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 43 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back38% 15 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back26% 5 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeKaderabek2wins
AwayBurylov1wins
Kaderabek leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kaderabek1Burylov2n = 3Burylov took 2 of 3
S2Kaderabek2Burylov1n = 3Kaderabek took 2 of 3
S3Kaderabek2Burylov1n = 3Kaderabek took 2 of 3
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricKaderabekBurylovK − BBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match35.031.3+3.7per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKaderabekBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime199 / 388 vs 208 / 41951.3%49.6%199 / 388 vs 208 / 419Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KaderabekKaderabek 1.73/Burylov 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kaderabek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WJul 31 · 07:45O. Kaderabek341112113V. Burylov2371060
LMay 25 · 06:45O. Kaderabek268990V. Burylov331111113
WMay 9 · 08:00O. Kaderabek45111112113V. Burylov381391061
O. Kaderabek10
WSep 21 · 06:45O. Kaderabek1.6111119113L. Svoboda2.20961171LSep 20 · 12:14M. Makara2.0261111113O. Kaderabek1.70117371LSep 20 · 11:15M. Zelinka1.6111611113O. Kaderabek2.20711591WSep 20 · 10:45O. Kaderabek1.6751111123M. Makara2.101188101LSep 20 · 09:45O. Kaderabek1.91911941R. Pisa1.8011911113LSep 17 · 12:48O. Kaderabek1.6111711852L. Svoboda2.20811611113WSep 17 · 11:45O. Kaderabek1.61611118113M. Makara2.2011691172WSep 17 · 10:15L. Svoboda2.101071181O. Kaderabek1.6712116113WSep 17 · 09:45T. Liska2.1011101110102O. Kaderabek1.67712912123WSep 16 · 08:18O. Kaderabek2.637111110113M. Stibor1.4411981282
V. Burylov10
WSep 21 · 06:15P. Wasik1.44914111192V. Burylov2.63111679113LSep 20 · 16:23V. Burylov1.617850L. Svoboda2.201111113LSep 20 · 15:15L. Svoboda2.38712811123V. Burylov1.531110118102LSep 20 · 14:45V. Burylov1.67911118102L. Veigl2.10116611123WSep 20 · 13:45V. Burylov1.831111113T. Liska1.837590WSep 20 · 08:18V. Burylov1.501112113L. Svoboda2.5061080LSep 20 · 07:45M. Kocvara1.8391112113V. Burylov1.831181041LSep 20 · 06:45L. Svoboda2.00116135113V. Burylov1.73911111192LSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890WSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113
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