TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
9111416117119911
Volodymyr Burylov
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:42 and never touched — 65.7% is still 65.7%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
65.7%
65.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Volodymyr Burylov below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 14-16
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 108 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Petr Wasik at 65.7%
108 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 6–5 Volodymyr Burylov Volodymyr Burylov has won 5 of their 11 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:42What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Wasik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-5 in 11
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1800 vs Burylov 1702
Wasik
Wrong
both rated, 98 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 80% vs Burylov 40%
Wasik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 60% vs Burylov 40%
Wasik
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik +3 · Burylov +1
Wasik
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Wasik form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.44 / Burylov 2.63
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Wasik)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166515
Wasik1.44
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite62% won 49 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it80% 35 of 44
Burylov2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog54% won 43 of 79
Down 0–1, comes back38% 15 of 40
Down 0–2, comes back26% 5 of 19
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWasik5wins
AwayBurylov5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik100%5 of 5
AwayBurylov100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik5Burylov5n = 10split evenly
S2Wasik5Burylov5n = 10split evenly
S3Wasik7Burylov3n = 10Wasik took 7 of 10
S4Wasik3Burylov2n = 5Wasik took 3 of 5
S5Wasik1Burylov3n = 4Burylov took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricWasikBurylovW − BBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match39.235.8+3.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikBurylovBasisWin rate · lifetime85 / 140 vs 210 / 42160.7%49.9%85 / 140 vs 210 / 421Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.139.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.44/Burylov 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Burylov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 21 · 06:15P. Wasik54914111192V. Burylov54111679113
WAug 28 · 08:53P. Wasik341211113V. Burylov2510960
LAug 28 · 05:15P. Wasik30910110V. Burylov361112133
WAug 21 · 09:15P. Wasik501171011113V. Burylov4581112682
WJul 3 · 06:15P. Wasik45111211113V. Burylov27514261
LMay 29 · 08:43P. Wasik43811113102V. Burylov46114811123
WMay 29 · 05:15P. Wasik331111113V. Burylov197840
LFeb 9 · 09:18P. Wasik2713770V. Burylov371511113
LFeb 9 · 06:15P. Wasik4281111662V. Burylov46117611113
WDec 3 · 07:45P. Wasik341111123V. Burylov2376100
P. Wasik10
WSep 21 · 07:15P. Wasik1.4411119113O. Kaderabek2.63271141WSep 21 · 05:15P. Wasik1.831111113L. Svoboda1.835460WSep 15 · 08:48O. Kaderabek2.75111113592P. Wasik1.40691511113WSep 15 · 07:45P. Wasik1.4011119113O. Kaderabek2.75981191LSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam3.001171112113P. Wasik1.36311131062WSep 15 · 05:45L. Dobias1.80411841P. Wasik1.9111611113LSep 10 · 08:23L. Heinzl2.501171211113P. Wasik1.5051114892WSep 10 · 07:15P. Wasik1.571211113L. Heinzl2.2510420LSep 10 · 06:15P. Wasik1.8351170L. Dobias1.831113113LSep 10 · 05:15P. Wasik1.5311115562M. Zelinka2.38971111113
V. Burylov10
WSep 21 · 05:45O. Kaderabek1.73711281V. Burylov2.0011611113LSep 20 · 16:23V. Burylov1.617850L. Svoboda2.201111113LSep 20 · 15:15L. Svoboda2.38712811123V. Burylov1.531110118102LSep 20 · 14:45V. Burylov1.67911118102L. Veigl2.10116611123WSep 20 · 13:45V. Burylov1.831111113T. Liska1.837590WSep 20 · 08:18V. Burylov1.501112113L. Svoboda2.5061080LSep 20 · 07:45M. Kocvara1.8391112113V. Burylov1.831181041LSep 20 · 06:45L. Svoboda2.00116135113V. Burylov1.73911111192LSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890WSep 19 · 20:48L. Veigl2.0011111271V. Burylov1.73131310113
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