TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Petr Wasik vs Michal Stibor 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.36
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
12141161210611911
Michal Stibor
Away
3.00
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:04 and never touched — 71.2% is still 71.2%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
71.2%
71.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Michal Stibor below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 9-11
Point 102 set 5, 9-11 — our read held Petr Wasik at 71.2%
102 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 8–2 Michal Stibor Michal Stibor has won 2 of their 10 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:04What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Wasik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-2 in 10
Wasik
Wrong
gap of 6 in 10, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1807 vs Stibor 1707
Wasik
Wrong
both rated, 100 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 80% vs Stibor 40%
Wasik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 70% vs Stibor 30%
Wasik
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik +2 · Stibor -3
Stibor
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Wasik)
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.36 / Stibor 3.00
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Wasik)+2.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185544
Wasik1.36
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite64% won 50 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Stibor3.00
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 26 of 66
Down 0–1, comes back24% 10 of 41
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeWasik8wins
AwayStibor2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderWasik leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeWasik85.7%6 of 7
AwayStibor33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik7Stibor3n = 10Wasik took 7 of 10
S2Wasik7Stibor3n = 10Wasik took 7 of 10
S3Wasik8Stibor2n = 10Wasik took 8 of 10
S4Wasik3Stibor3n = 6split evenly
S5Wasik2Stibor1n = 3Wasik took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricWasikStiborW − SBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match39.531.7+7.8per matchSweeps40+43–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikStiborBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 141 vs 177 / 33661%52.7%86 / 141 vs 177 / 336Avg sets wonper match2.32.1per matchAvg pointsper match40.239.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
WasikWasik 1.36/Stibor 3.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
71.2%
Wasik · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Stibor won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 19 · 12:14P. Wasik45751111113M. Stibor4111116492
LAug 19 · 11:15P. Wasik4811811992M. Stibor50911811113
WJul 2 · 08:54P. Wasik43101111113M. Stibor24121651
WJul 2 · 06:45P. Wasik331111113M. Stibor248970
WJul 1 · 06:15P. Wasik341112113M. Stibor1631030
WMay 20 · 11:15P. Wasik47115119113M. Stibor4151171172
WMay 19 · 09:15P. Wasik4311138113M. Stibor346111161
WApr 8 · 11:15P. Wasik341211113M. Stibor2610970
LNov 10 · 17:59P. Wasik35911691M. Stibor4111811113
WNov 10 · 16:00P. Wasik331111113M. Stibor205780
P. Wasik10
LSep 24 · 06:45P. Wasik1.731112791M. Bouska2.0081411113WSep 21 · 08:48V. Burylov2.7511581192P. Wasik1.40311119113WSep 21 · 07:15P. Wasik1.4411119113O. Kaderabek2.63271141LSep 21 · 06:15P. Wasik1.44914111192V. Burylov2.63111679113WSep 21 · 05:15P. Wasik1.831111113L. Svoboda1.835460WSep 15 · 08:48O. Kaderabek2.75111113592P. Wasik1.40691511113WSep 15 · 07:45P. Wasik1.4011119113O. Kaderabek2.75981191LSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam3.001171112113P. Wasik1.36311131062WSep 15 · 05:45L. Dobias1.80411841P. Wasik1.9111611113LSep 10 · 08:23L. Heinzl2.501171211113P. Wasik1.5051114892
M. Stibor10
WSep 24 · 06:15T. Hlavacek1.301011116122M. Stibor3.40129611143LSep 21 · 12:21M. Zelinka1.331111113M. Stibor3.256860LSep 21 · 11:15M. Stibor1.671511911102L. Adam2.10179119123LSep 21 · 10:15M. Stibor1.739580R. Pisa2.001111113WSep 21 · 09:15M. Stibor2.251111113M. Zelinka1.575780WSep 17 · 08:18M. Bouska1.53811371M. Stibor2.3811911113LSep 17 · 07:15M. Stibor1.9197110M. Bouska1.801111133LSep 17 · 06:15M. Stibor2.50811681L. Dobias1.5011711113LSep 17 · 05:15M. Stibor1.73714611122L. Veigl2.001112119143LSep 16 · 08:18O. Kaderabek2.637111110113M. Stibor1.4411981282
Upcoming Matches
P. Wasik
Nothing scheduled
M. Stibor
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