TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Petr Wasik vs Martin Bouska 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Petr Wasik
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1181214711911––
Martin Bouska
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:11 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePetr Wasik to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingPetr Wasik above · Martin Bouska below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 12-14
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 9-11
Point 83 set 4, 9-11 — our read held Petr Wasik at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Petr Wasik 1–2 Martin Bouska Petr Wasik has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:11What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Wasik
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Wasik 1796 vs Bouska 1796
Wasik
Wrong
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Wasik 60% vs Bouska 80%
Bouska
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Wasik 60% vs Bouska 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Wasik -1 · Bouska +4
Bouska
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Bouska) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Bouska form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsWasik 1.73 / Bouska 2.00
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Bouska)+7.7pp
Setka Cup · #13185835
Wasik1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite64% won 50 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it96% 24 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it83% 35 of 42
Bouska2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 4
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeWasik1wins
AwayBouska2wins
Bouska leads 2–1.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Wasik2Bouska1n = 3Wasik took 2 of 3
S2Wasik0Bouska3n = 3Bouska took 3 of 3
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home133%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away133%
These 3 meetings
MetricWasikBouskaW − BBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match42.539.5+3.0per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricWasikBouskaBasisWin rate · lifetime87 / 144 vs 40 / 7160.4%56.3%87 / 144 vs 40 / 71Avg sets wonper match2.32.2per matchAvg pointsper match40.339.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BouskaWasik 1.73/Bouska 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Bouska · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Bouska won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
LSep 24 · 06:45P. Wasik391112791M. Bouska4481411113
WDec 3 · 09:21P. Wasik46111311113M. Bouska35715761
P. Wasik10
WSep 24 · 07:15T. Hlavacek1.67681471P. Wasik2.10111112113LSep 24 · 05:45P. Wasik1.36121112692M. Stibor3.001461011113WSep 21 · 08:48V. Burylov2.7511581192P. Wasik1.40311119113WSep 21 · 07:15P. Wasik1.4411119113O. Kaderabek2.63271141LSep 21 · 06:15P. Wasik1.44914111192V. Burylov2.63111679113WSep 21 · 05:15P. Wasik1.831111113L. Svoboda1.835460WSep 15 · 08:48O. Kaderabek2.75111113592P. Wasik1.40691511113WSep 15 · 07:45P. Wasik1.4011119113O. Kaderabek2.75981191LSep 15 · 06:15L. Adam3.001171112113P. Wasik1.36311131062WSep 15 · 05:45L. Dobias1.80411841P. Wasik1.9111611113
M. Bouska10
WSep 24 · 07:45M. Stibor2.206870M. Bouska1.611111113WSep 24 · 05:15T. Hlavacek1.5081111882M. Bouska2.50119911113WSep 22 · 08:49M. Zelinka2.388890M. Bouska1.531111113WSep 22 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731112113V. Burylov2.0071070WSep 22 · 06:15M. Bouska1.611117113L. Dobias2.2061580LSep 22 · 05:15M. Bouska1.441110861M. Zelinka2.6381211113LSep 20 · 08:48M. Kocvara1.7311612113M. Bouska2.007111091WSep 20 · 07:15M. Bouska1.731111113L. Svoboda2.009440LSep 20 · 06:15M. Bouska1.8371511772M. Kocvara1.831113811113WSep 20 · 05:15M. Bouska1.731111113V. Burylov2.008890
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