TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Volodymyr Melnykov vs Oleksandr Mytsyk 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Volodymyr Melnykov
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
7112111210611––
Oleksandr Mytsyk
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:52 and never touched — 57.4% is still 57.4%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Mytsyk to win
57.4%
57.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVolodymyr Melnykov above · Oleksandr Mytsyk below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 2-11
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 70 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Oleksandr Mytsyk at 57.4%
70 points played in total.
H2H Volodymyr Melnykov 30–45 Oleksandr Mytsyk Volodymyr Melnykov has won 30 of their 75 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 20:52What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Mytsyk
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
30-45 in 75
Mytsyk
Correct
gap of 15 in 75, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Melnykov 1334 vs Mytsyk 1400
Mytsyk
Correct
both rated, 65 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Melnykov 60% vs Mytsyk 80%
Mytsyk
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Melnykov 40% vs Mytsyk 70%
Mytsyk
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Melnykov +1 · Mytsyk +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Mytsyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mytsyk form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMelnykov 2.10 / Mytsyk 1.67
Signal prob.43% / 57%
Edge (Mytsyk)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13186120
Melnykov2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 5 days ago (Sep 19)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 54 of 148
Down 0–1, comes back21% 19 of 92
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 57
Mytsyk1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 163 of 293
Up 2–0, closes it89% 74 of 83
Up 1–0, closes it79% 120 of 152
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMelnykov2wins
AwayMytsyk8wins
9 of 10 to a deciderMytsyk leads 8–2, and 9 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMelnykov0%0 of 4
AwayMytsyk66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Melnykov4Mytsyk6n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S2Melnykov5Mytsyk5n = 10split evenly
S3Melnykov4Mytsyk6n = 10Mytsyk took 6 of 10
S4Melnykov6Mytsyk4n = 10Melnykov took 6 of 10
S5Melnykov2Mytsyk6n = 8Mytsyk took 6 of 8
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away770%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMelnykovMytsykMelnykov − MytsykBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match48.650.7−2.1per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMelnykovMytsykBasisWin rate · lifetime246 / 535 vs 536 / 107346%50%246 / 535 vs 536 / 1073Avg sets wonper match1.92.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.038.1per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MytsykMelnykov 2.10/Mytsyk 1.67
Hit
What we said
57.4%
Mytsyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Mytsyk won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 7 · 06:50V. Melnykov5311101111102O. Mytsyk46212713123
LSep 4 · 08:35V. Melnykov47111410482O. Mytsyk559121211113
WAug 27 · 08:00V. Melnykov558111015113O. Mytsyk48118121342
LAug 26 · 18:00V. Melnykov50811121182O. Mytsyk53118149113
LJul 31 · 07:00V. Melnykov32861261O. Mytsyk43111110113
WJul 27 · 07:50V. Melnykov50691212113O. Mytsyk491111101072
LJul 26 · 17:00V. Melnykov53511151392O. Mytsyk581181315113
LJul 19 · 15:00V. Melnykov4711891182O. Mytsyk50911118113
LJul 6 · 10:50V. Melnykov50912121162O. Mytsyk541110148113
V. Melnykov10
WSep 19 · 11:30V. Melnykov1.364111111113S. Semenets3.0011813242LSep 19 · 09:30S. Skhabitskiy2.0051111113V. Melnykov1.73117841LSep 19 · 07:30M. Stetsenko1.531212123V. Melnykov2.381010100WSep 19 · 06:30V. Melnykov3.0011115113O. Ovsiienko1.36871191WSep 19 · 05:30K. Klymenko3.00131011282V. Melnykov1.361112811113LSep 13 · 19:00V. Melnykov2.105970M. Stetsenko1.671111113LSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142WSep 13 · 15:00A. Dekhtiarenko1.804770V. Melnykov1.911111113LSep 13 · 14:00V. Melnykov2.63981181O. Ovsiienko1.4411117113LSep 13 · 13:00S. Baranskyi2.001111113V. Melnykov1.736750
O. Mytsyk10
WSep 24 · 07:50O. Mytsyk2.201211113M. Stetsenko1.6110730WSep 21 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.7311118113S. Skhabitskiy2.00991171LSep 21 · 10:05D. Ponomarenko1.831310911113O. Mytsyk1.83111211582WSep 21 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.50481181O. Mytsyk1.5011112113WSep 21 · 07:05O. Mytsyk2.501111113M. Stetsenko1.509840WSep 21 · 06:05O. Ovsiienko1.8071114822O. Mytsyk1.911191211113WSep 20 · 12:05O. Mytsyk1.33571411113S. Semenets3.25111112682LSep 20 · 10:05D. Khavanskyi2.6331111113O. Mytsyk1.44112771WSep 20 · 08:05V. Mukhin2.25661161O. Mytsyk1.5711117113WSep 13 · 17:00O. Mytsyk1.6741111973V. Melnykov2.1011671142
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