TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Tomas Holomek vs Artur Akopyan 3-0 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Tomas Holomek
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114114117––––
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:12 and never touched — 60.8% is still 60.8%
Graded at full timeTomas Holomek to win
60.8%
60.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Holomek above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 11-7
Point 48 set 3, 11-7 — our read held Tomas Holomek at 60.8%
48 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Holomek 11–10 Artur Akopyan Artur Akopyan has won 10 of their 21 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:12What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Holomek
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
11-10 in 21
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Holomek 1184 vs Akopyan 1169
Holomek
Correct
both rated, 15 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Holomek 60% vs Akopyan 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Holomek 30% vs Akopyan 30%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Holomek +3 · Akopyan +2
Holomek
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Holomek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHolomek 1.53 / Akopyan 2.38
Signal prob.61% / 39%
Edge (Holomek)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13185838
Holomek1.53
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 14 days ago (Sep 10) · back after a break
Won last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite31% won 10 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it50% 7 of 14
Akopyan2.38
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 48 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeHolomek6wins
AwayAkopyan4wins
5 of 10 to a deciderHolomek leads 6–4, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHolomek83.3%5 of 6
AwayAkopyan75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Holomek6Akopyan4n = 10Holomek took 6 of 10
S2Holomek6Akopyan4n = 10Holomek took 6 of 10
S3Holomek3Akopyan7n = 10Akopyan took 7 of 10
S4Holomek8Akopyan2n = 10Holomek took 8 of 10
S5Holomek2Akopyan3n = 5Akopyan took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricHolomekAkopyanH − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match44.940.7+4.2per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHolomekAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime55 / 124 vs 214 / 50544.4%42.4%55 / 124 vs 214 / 505Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.638.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HolomekHolomek 1.53/Akopyan 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.8%
Holomek · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Holomek won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 13 · 10:00T. Holomek5124116101A. Akopyan5826911123
LAug 6 · 08:38T. Holomek4461181182A. Akopyan44116115113
WAug 6 · 05:30T. Holomek4371411113A. Akopyan361112761
WJun 25 · 12:48T. Holomek4111811113A. Akopyan30511951
WJun 25 · 09:15T. Holomek50119118113A. Akopyan3971151152
LJun 11 · 12:33T. Holomek3871141242A. Akopyan491161110113
WJun 11 · 10:00T. Holomek4011117113A. Akopyan28271181
WMay 6 · 16:30T. Holomek521110713113A. Akopyan51912111182
LMay 6 · 14:30T. Holomek51118911122A. Akopyan50711117143
WFeb 26 · 12:00T. Holomek3911116113A. Akopyan22441131
T. Holomek10
WSep 24 · 11:30T. Holomek1.801311113P. Muller1.9111790WSep 24 · 10:30T. Holomek1.67111113113V. Kilian2.10761551WSep 10 · 13:14P. Muller1.61911611112T. Holomek2.20113117133WSep 10 · 11:30T. Holomek1.83111811143A. Skyba1.83117119122WSep 10 · 10:30T. Holomek2.1010101111113P. Muller1.6712127882LSep 10 · 09:30T. Holomek2.2091060J. Vrnak1.611112113LAug 13 · 12:58D. Sabuka1.25911511113T. Holomek3.7511511782LAug 13 · 12:00T. Holomek2.206870D. Sabuka1.611111113LAug 13 · 10:30M. Holub1.401111123T. Holomek2.7587100LAug 13 · 10:00A. Akopyan2.5026911123T. Holomek1.5024116101
A. Akopyan10
WSep 24 · 11:00P. Muller1.618540A. Akopyan2.201111113WSep 22 · 09:09A. Akopyan1.7311119143J. Vrnak2.008611121WSep 22 · 08:00J. Vrnak1.6791090A. Akopyan2.101112113LSep 22 · 07:00P. Muller1.671071211143A. Akopyan2.101211107122WSep 22 · 05:30A. Skyba1.501188111A. Akopyan2.5091111133LSep 20 · 20:33A. Akopyan2.6381171172J. Mares1.44116118113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Cmil1.611211113A. Akopyan2.2010890LSep 20 · 19:00J. Mares1.5361111113A. Akopyan2.38119361LSep 20 · 17:30D. Sabuka1.3011117113A. Akopyan3.40981141WAug 13 · 10:00A. Akopyan2.5026911123T. Holomek1.5024116101
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