TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Antonin Skyba vs Artur Akopyan 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Antonin Skyba
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 3
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
1198118111113––
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 6Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeAntonin Skyba to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAntonin Skyba above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-13
Point 82 set 4, 11-13 — our read held Antonin Skyba at 65.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Skyba 25–23 Artur Akopyan Artur Akopyan has won 23 of their 48 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skyba
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
25-23 in 48
Skyba
Wrong
gap of 2 in 48, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skyba 1214 vs Akopyan 1135
Skyba
Wrong
both rated, 80 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skyba 20% vs Akopyan 0%
Skyba
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skyba 30% vs Akopyan 10%
Skyba
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skyba -3 · Akopyan -6
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Skyba)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkyba 1.50 / Akopyan 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Skyba)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13172882
Skyba1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 3
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it65% 15 of 23
Akopyan2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 20)
Lost last 6
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog32% won 46 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkyba6wins
AwayAkopyan4wins
2 of 10 to a deciderSkyba leads 6–4, and 2 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkyba71.4%5 of 7
AwayAkopyan66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skyba7Akopyan3n = 10Skyba took 7 of 10
S2Skyba5Akopyan5n = 10split evenly
S3Skyba6Akopyan4n = 10Skyba took 6 of 10
S4Skyba3Akopyan4n = 7Akopyan took 4 of 7
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkybaAkopyanS − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match36.433.8+2.6per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkybaAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 242 vs 216 / 51440.5%42%98 / 242 vs 216 / 514Avg sets wonper match1.81.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.637.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkybaSkyba 1.50/Akopyan 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Skyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Akopyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba3811412113A. Akopyan348111051
WAug 10 · 08:00A. Skyba4291111113A. Akopyan29113781
WJul 30 · 05:30A. Skyba4011711113A. Akopyan29511491
LJul 9 · 07:00A. Skyba41115111042A. Akopyan44511512113
LJun 25 · 11:15A. Skyba205690A. Akopyan331111113
LJun 23 · 06:00A. Skyba35118971A. Akopyan4291111113
WJun 22 · 08:38A. Skyba50111288113A. Akopyan43510111162
LJun 11 · 10:30A. Skyba303111331A. Akopyan4511815113
WMay 13 · 08:49A. Skyba351311113A. Akopyan1911440
WMay 13 · 06:00A. Skyba331111113A. Akopyan208660
A. Skyba10
LSep 22 · 06:30A. Skyba1.5711101171J. Vrnak2.2571213113LSep 21 · 08:28M. Holub1.338111111113A. Skyba3.2511913562LSep 21 · 07:30P. Muller1.91711117123A. Skyba1.80116911102LSep 21 · 07:00A. Skyba3.4011751142M. Holub1.30611118113WSep 21 · 06:00A. Skyba2.251115113L. Krutina1.5751390LSep 16 · 16:33P. Fiser1.3391118113A. Skyba3.251171681LSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113WSep 16 · 14:30A. Skyba1.831111113V. Coubal1.836390WSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 10 · 12:43J. Vrnak2.38119114113A. Skyba1.5351131132
A. Akopyan10
LSep 20 · 20:33A. Akopyan2.6381171172J. Mares1.44116118113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Cmil1.611211113A. Akopyan2.2010890LSep 20 · 19:00J. Mares1.5361111113A. Akopyan2.38119361LSep 20 · 17:30D. Sabuka1.3011117113A. Akopyan3.40981141LSep 16 · 17:05A. Akopyan2.757960V. Coubal1.401111113LSep 16 · 16:00V. Coubal1.4451111153A. Akopyan2.631197131WSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113LSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 9 · 08:38A. Akopyan3.2571291132F. Fryml1.331110115113LSep 9 · 08:00A. Akopyan2.201071461M. Holub1.61121112113
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