TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Antonin Skyba vs Jan Vrnak 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Antonin Skyba
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 4
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
11710121113711––
Jan Vrnak
Away
2.25
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:54 and never touched — 59.3% is still 59.3%
Graded at full timeAntonin Skyba to win
59.3%
59.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAntonin Skyba above · Jan Vrnak below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 82 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Antonin Skyba at 59.3%
82 points played in total.
H2H Antonin Skyba 7–7 Jan Vrnak Dead even across their 14 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:54What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Skyba
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-7 in 14
—
Too close
gap of 0, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skyba 1187 vs Vrnak 1193
Vrnak
Correct
both rated, 5 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skyba 20% vs Vrnak 40%
Vrnak
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skyba 30% vs Vrnak 40%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Skyba -4 · Vrnak +2
Skyba
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Skyba) · live re-read · sealed at 59% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skyba form (20%) is below what odds imply (64%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkyba 1.57 / Vrnak 2.25
Signal prob.60% / 40%
Edge (Skyba)+1.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172893
Skyba1.57
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite54% won 21 of 39
Up 2–0, closes it93% 13 of 14
Up 1–0, closes it65% 15 of 23
Vrnak2.25
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog35% won 20 of 57
Down 0–1, comes back8% 2 of 26
Down 0–2, comes back6% 1 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkyba5wins
AwayVrnak5wins
1 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkyba80%4 of 5
AwayVrnak80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skyba5Vrnak5n = 10split evenly
S2Skyba8Vrnak2n = 10Skyba took 8 of 10
S3Skyba3Vrnak7n = 10Vrnak took 7 of 10
S4Skyba4Vrnak3n = 7Skyba took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkybaVrnakS − VBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match34.135.3−1.2per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkybaVrnakBasisWin rate · lifetime98 / 241 vs 97 / 22040.7%44.1%98 / 241 vs 97 / 220Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match36.837.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkybaSkyba 1.57/Vrnak 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
59.9%
Skyba · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Vrnak won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 22 · 06:30A. Skyba3911101171J. Vrnak4371213113
LSep 10 · 12:43A. Skyba3351131132J. Vrnak46119114113
WSep 10 · 11:00A. Skyba4071111113J. Vrnak31116771
WSep 3 · 07:30A. Skyba3811115113J. Vrnak33961171
WJul 30 · 08:48A. Skyba331111113J. Vrnak269890
WJul 30 · 07:30A. Skyba3911116113J. Vrnak34871181
LJun 22 · 07:30A. Skyba258980J. Vrnak331111113
WMay 28 · 07:00A. Skyba361312113J. Vrnak25111040
LMay 21 · 07:30A. Skyba369115111J. Vrnak4011511133
LMar 26 · 06:45A. Skyba22511241J. Vrnak4211911113
A. Skyba10
LSep 22 · 05:30A. Skyba1.501188111A. Akopyan2.5091111133LSep 21 · 08:28M. Holub1.338111111113A. Skyba3.2511913562LSep 21 · 07:30P. Muller1.91711117123A. Skyba1.80116911102LSep 21 · 07:00A. Skyba3.4011751142M. Holub1.30611118113WSep 21 · 06:00A. Skyba2.251115113L. Krutina1.5751390LSep 16 · 16:33P. Fiser1.3391118113A. Skyba3.251171681LSep 16 · 15:30A. Skyba2.63841191P. Fiser1.4411119113WSep 16 · 14:30A. Skyba1.831111113V. Coubal1.836390WSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 10 · 12:43J. Vrnak2.38119114113A. Skyba1.5351131132
J. Vrnak10
WSep 22 · 06:00P. Muller1.575740J. Vrnak2.251111113WSep 18 · 08:44P. Muller1.4411118362J. Vrnak2.63851111113LSep 18 · 07:30M. Holub1.40781111113J. Vrnak2.7511117992LSep 18 · 07:00J. Vrnak3.501141081D. Sabuka1.2841112113LSep 18 · 06:00J. Vrnak2.751151011102P. Muller1.40911124123WSep 10 · 12:43J. Vrnak2.38119114113A. Skyba1.5351131132LSep 10 · 12:00P. Muller1.5312117113J. Vrnak2.381091151LSep 10 · 11:00A. Skyba1.4471111113J. Vrnak2.63116771WSep 10 · 09:30T. Holomek2.2091060J. Vrnak1.611112113LSep 3 · 08:34M. Cmil1.50312711113J. Vrnak2.50111011562
Upcoming Matches
A. Skyba
Nothing scheduled
J. Vrnak
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