TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Artur Akopyan
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
811116711118711
Jan Mares
Away
1.44
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingArtur Akopyan above · Jan Mares below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 7-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 91 set 5, 7-11
91 points played in total.
H2H Artur Akopyan 7–12 Jan Mares Artur Akopyan has won 7 of their 19 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 2h before this match
Mares beat Akopyan 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Mares)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Mares form (20%) is below what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAkopyan 2.63 / Mares 1.44
Signal prob.35% / 65%
Edge (Mares)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13166489
Akopyan2.63
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Mares1.44
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
10%takes the first set · 1 of 10
As favourite
Fewer than 10 matches in this role
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAkopyan3wins
AwayMares7wins
1 of 10 to a deciderMares leads 7–3, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAkopyan50%2 of 4
AwayMares83.3%5 of 6
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Akopyan4Mares6n = 10Mares took 6 of 10
S2Akopyan3Mares7n = 10Mares took 7 of 10
S3Akopyan2Mares7n = 9Mares took 7 of 9
S4Akopyan2Mares3n = 5Mares took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away440%
These 10 meetings
MetricAkopyanMaresA − MBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set46−2of 10Avg pointsper match31.236.2−5.0per matchSweeps14−33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAkopyanMaresBasisWin rate · lifetime216 / 513 vs 46 / 12242.1%37.7%216 / 513 vs 46 / 122Avg sets wonper match1.91.7per matchAvg pointsper match37.835.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MaresAkopyan 2.63/Mares 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
65.3%
Mares · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Mares won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 19:00A. Akopyan29119361J. Mares3961111113
WMar 8 · 16:00A. Akopyan3851111113J. Mares32118761
LDec 14 · 16:30A. Akopyan2991190J. Mares351113113
LNov 16 · 07:30A. Akopyan123630J. Mares331111113
WSep 22 · 20:00A. Akopyan331111113J. Mares171790
WSep 14 · 20:33A. Akopyan48118711113J. Mares4361111962
LSep 14 · 17:30A. Akopyan31119561J. Mares4291111113
LAug 17 · 20:00A. Akopyan374111751J. Mares4911819113
LAug 13 · 08:00A. Akopyan2412750J. Mares361411113
A. Akopyan10
LSep 20 · 20:00M. Cmil1.611211113A. Akopyan2.2010890LSep 20 · 19:00J. Mares1.5361111113A. Akopyan2.38119361LSep 20 · 17:30D. Sabuka1.3011117113A. Akopyan3.40981141LSep 16 · 17:05A. Akopyan2.757960V. Coubal1.401111113LSep 16 · 16:00V. Coubal1.4451111153A. Akopyan2.631197131WSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113LSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 9 · 08:38A. Akopyan3.2571291132F. Fryml1.331110115113LSep 9 · 08:00A. Akopyan2.201071461M. Holub1.61121112113LSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351
J. Mares10
LSep 20 · 19:30D. Sabuka1.33614118113J. Mares3.25111281192WSep 20 · 19:00J. Mares1.5361111113A. Akopyan2.38119361LSep 20 · 18:00J. Mares3.40451591M. Cmil1.30111113113LSep 12 · 20:34D. Sabuka1.911111113J. Mares1.804220LSep 12 · 19:30J. Mares2.7514280J. Seeman1.401611113WSep 12 · 18:30J. Mares2.383131373D. Sabuka1.5311111151LSep 12 · 17:30J. Mares3.7531250J. Jnr1.251114113LAug 2 · 20:33V. Coubal1.731111113J. Mares2.008870LAug 2 · 19:30T. Stejskal1.361114113J. Mares3.0051220LAug 2 · 19:00J. Mares3.50961131P. Moulis1.2811116103
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