TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 20Finished
Marcel Cmil
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210118119––––
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.20
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:26 and never touched — 65.3% is still 65.3%
Graded at full timeMarcel Cmil to win
65.3%
65.3%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMarcel Cmil above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 61 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Marcel Cmil at 65.3%
61 points played in total.
H2H Marcel Cmil 52–48 Artur Akopyan Artur Akopyan has won 48 of their 100 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:26What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Cmil
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
52-48 in 100
Cmil
Correct
gap of 4 in 100, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Cmil 1359 vs Akopyan 1150
Cmil
Correct
both rated, 208 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Cmil 80% vs Akopyan 20%
Cmil
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Cmil 70% vs Akopyan 10%
Cmil
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Cmil -1 · Akopyan -4
Akopyan
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 61% — Slight lean (leans Cmil) · live re-read · sealed at 65% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsCmil 1.61 / Akopyan 2.20
Signal prob.61% / 40%
Edge (Cmil)+2.8pp
Setka Cup · #13161930
Cmil1.61
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As favourite58% won 79 of 136
Up 2–0, closes it90% 35 of 39
Up 1–0, closes it75% 52 of 69
Akopyan2.20
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog33% won 47 of 143
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 98
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeCmil6wins
AwayAkopyan4wins
7 of 10 to a deciderCmil leads 6–4, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeCmil80%4 of 5
AwayAkopyan60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Cmil5Akopyan5n = 10split evenly
S2Cmil6Akopyan4n = 10Cmil took 6 of 10
S3Cmil5Akopyan5n = 10split evenly
S4Cmil4Akopyan4n = 8split evenly
S5Cmil4Akopyan3n = 7Cmil took 4 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricCmilAkopyanC − ABasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.839.2+2.6per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricCmilAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime363 / 666 vs 216 / 51254.5%42.2%363 / 666 vs 216 / 512Avg sets wonper match2.21.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CmilCmil 1.61/Akopyan 2.20
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
60.5%
Cmil · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Cmil won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 5 · 11:30M. Cmil331111113A. Akopyan143650
WAug 16 · 17:30M. Cmil46111158113A. Akopyan3764111152
WJul 31 · 06:30M. Cmil44511314113A. Akopyan49117111282
WJul 23 · 07:30M. Cmil47811314113A. Akopyan46116111262
LJul 16 · 08:44M. Cmil135440A. Akopyan331111113
LJul 16 · 06:30M. Cmil4157111172A. Akopyan48111187113
WJun 24 · 20:58M. Cmil581111149133A. Akopyan50751611112
LJun 24 · 19:00M. Cmil48111111962A. Akopyan42132511113
WJun 19 · 16:43M. Cmil43111011113A. Akopyan30512851
LJun 19 · 14:45M. Cmil4511911592A. Akopyan43811211113
M. Cmil10
WSep 20 · 21:04M. Cmil1.801111123D. Sabuka1.9189100LSep 20 · 18:30D. Sabuka2.009111111113M. Cmil1.7311413972WSep 20 · 18:00J. Mares3.40451591M. Cmil1.30111113113WSep 19 · 13:15J. Jnr1.80131111592M. Cmil1.90156911113WSep 19 · 11:30M. Cmil2.0012811113L. Boura1.731011651WSep 19 · 10:30M. Cmil1.61116511113P. Moulis2.2091111882LSep 19 · 09:30M. Cmil1.83119791J. Jnr1.8351111113LSep 16 · 09:03M. Cmil1.9191191192L. Krutina1.80119117113WSep 16 · 08:00L. Krutina1.8012113852M. Cmil1.911061111113WSep 16 · 07:00P. Cizek2.3891112862M. Cmil1.531171011113
A. Akopyan10
LSep 20 · 20:33A. Akopyan2.6381171172J. Mares1.44116118113LSep 20 · 19:00J. Mares1.5361111113A. Akopyan2.38119361LSep 20 · 17:30D. Sabuka1.3011117113A. Akopyan3.40981141LSep 16 · 17:05A. Akopyan2.757960V. Coubal1.401111113LSep 16 · 16:00V. Coubal1.4451111153A. Akopyan2.631197131WSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113LSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051LSep 9 · 08:38A. Akopyan3.2571291132F. Fryml1.331110115113LSep 9 · 08:00A. Akopyan2.201071461M. Holub1.61121112113LSep 9 · 06:30L. Krutina1.33111111113A. Akopyan3.25561351
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.