TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Jan Vrnak vs Artur Akopyan 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Jan Vrnak
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 3
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
9111012911––––
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 55.8% is still 55.8%
Graded at full timeJan Vrnak to win
55.8%
55.8%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Vrnak above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 9-11
Point 62 set 3, 9-11 — our read held Jan Vrnak at 55.8%
62 points played in total.
H2H Jan Vrnak 19–20 Artur Akopyan Jan Vrnak has won 19 of their 39 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:19What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Vrnak
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
19-20 in 39
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vrnak 1193 vs Akopyan 1140
Vrnak
Wrong
both rated, 53 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vrnak 60% vs Akopyan 20%
Vrnak
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vrnak 50% vs Akopyan 20%
Vrnak
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vrnak +3 · Akopyan -1
Vrnak
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vrnak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (20%) is below what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVrnak 1.67 / Akopyan 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vrnak)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172756
Vrnak1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite56% won 10 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it63% 5 of 8
Akopyan2.10
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog32% won 46 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back22% 22 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back3% 2 of 58
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVrnak3wins
AwayAkopyan7wins
3 of 10 to a deciderAkopyan leads 7–3, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVrnak50%3 of 6
AwayAkopyan100%4 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vrnak6Akopyan4n = 10Vrnak took 6 of 10
S2Vrnak5Akopyan5n = 10split evenly
S3Vrnak4Akopyan6n = 10Akopyan took 6 of 10
S4Vrnak1Akopyan3n = 4Akopyan took 3 of 4
S5Vrnak0Akopyan3n = 3Akopyan took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away330%
These 10 meetings
MetricVrnakAkopyanV − ABasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match33.735.9−2.2per matchSweeps3303–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVrnakAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime97 / 220 vs 215 / 51044.1%42.2%97 / 220 vs 215 / 510Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match37.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VrnakVrnak 1.67/Akopyan 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Vrnak · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Akopyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 6 · 07:00J. Vrnak331111113A. Akopyan194690
WJul 30 · 07:00J. Vrnak331111113A. Akopyan165470
LJun 22 · 06:30J. Vrnak48121191152A. Akopyan521013117113
LApr 23 · 05:30J. Vrnak174760A. Akopyan331111113
WMar 26 · 09:13J. Vrnak331111113A. Akopyan258980
LMar 26 · 07:45J. Vrnak2988130A. Akopyan371111153
LMar 19 · 06:30J. Vrnak2410770A. Akopyan341211113
LMar 12 · 08:30J. Vrnak4112711652A. Akopyan521011911113
LFeb 5 · 06:30J. Vrnak4211117852A. Akopyan49971111113
LJan 29 · 10:10J. Vrnak379111071A. Akopyan4211812113
J. Vrnak10
WSep 22 · 06:30A. Skyba1.5711101171J. Vrnak2.2571213113WSep 22 · 06:00P. Muller1.575740J. Vrnak2.251111113WSep 18 · 08:44P. Muller1.4411118362J. Vrnak2.63851111113LSep 18 · 07:30M. Holub1.40781111113J. Vrnak2.7511117992LSep 18 · 07:00J. Vrnak3.501141081D. Sabuka1.2841112113LSep 18 · 06:00J. Vrnak2.751151011102P. Muller1.40911124123WSep 10 · 12:43J. Vrnak2.38119114113A. Skyba1.5351131132LSep 10 · 12:00P. Muller1.5312117113J. Vrnak2.381091151LSep 10 · 11:00A. Skyba1.4471111113J. Vrnak2.63116771WSep 10 · 09:30T. Holomek2.2091060J. Vrnak1.611112113
A. Akopyan10
LSep 22 · 07:00P. Muller1.671071211143A. Akopyan2.101211107122WSep 22 · 05:30A. Skyba1.501188111A. Akopyan2.5091111133LSep 20 · 20:33A. Akopyan2.6381171172J. Mares1.44116118113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Cmil1.611211113A. Akopyan2.2010890LSep 20 · 19:00J. Mares1.5361111113A. Akopyan2.38119361LSep 20 · 17:30D. Sabuka1.3011117113A. Akopyan3.40981141LSep 16 · 17:05A. Akopyan2.757960V. Coubal1.401111113LSep 16 · 16:00V. Coubal1.4451111153A. Akopyan2.631197131WSep 16 · 15:00P. Fiser1.7311611672A. Akopyan2.00711711113LSep 16 · 13:30A. Skyba1.5711412113A. Akopyan2.258111051
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