TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Vit Kilian vs Artur Akopyan 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Vit Kilian
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 5Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 5
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11831191112101113
Artur Akopyan
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:01 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeArtur Akopyan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingVit Kilian above · Artur Akopyan below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 3-11
Set 3 · 9-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 99 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Artur Akopyan at 54.0%
99 points played in total.
H2H Vit Kilian 21–24 Artur Akopyan Vit Kilian has won 21 of their 45 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:01What took a side4 for · 2 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Kilian
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-24 in 45
Akopyan
Correct
gap of 3 in 45, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kilian 1145 vs Akopyan 1172
Akopyan
Correct
both rated, 27 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kilian 0% vs Akopyan 60%
Akopyan
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kilian 10% vs Akopyan 40%
Akopyan
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kilian -5 · Akopyan +1
Kilian
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Kilian) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Akopyan form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKilian 1.67 / Akopyan 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Kilian)+0.0pp
Setka Cup · #13185771
Kilian1.67
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 5
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite31% won 4 of 13
Up 1–0, closes it67% 4 of 6
Akopyan2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog33% won 48 of 145
Down 0–1, comes back23% 23 of 99
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 57
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKilian5wins
AwayAkopyan5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKilian66.7%4 of 6
AwayAkopyan75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kilian6Akopyan4n = 10Kilian took 6 of 10
S2Kilian4Akopyan6n = 10Akopyan took 6 of 10
S3Kilian3Akopyan7n = 10Akopyan took 7 of 10
S4Kilian4Akopyan5n = 9Akopyan took 5 of 9
S5Kilian3Akopyan1n = 4Kilian took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricKilianAkopyanK − ABasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.142.0−2.9per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKilianAkopyanBasisWin rate · lifetime89 / 198 vs 212 / 50445%42.1%89 / 198 vs 212 / 504Avg sets wonper match1.91.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KilianKilian 1.67/Akopyan 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.8%
Kilian · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Akopyan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJul 15 · 12:38V. Kilian49141185113A. Akopyan48127111172
LJul 15 · 11:00V. Kilian27391141A. Akopyan3711114113
LJun 25 · 10:15V. Kilian42115101152A. Akopyan52911129113
LJun 14 · 08:39V. Kilian259970A. Akopyan331111113
LJun 14 · 05:15V. Kilian33851191A. Akopyan4211119113
WJun 11 · 12:00V. Kilian4111118113A. Akopyan32871161
LJun 2 · 12:29V. Kilian351168101A. Akopyan4391111123
WJun 2 · 10:00V. Kilian541181212113A. Akopyan53911141092
WMay 29 · 10:00V. Kilian4211119113A. Akopyan32671181
WMar 22 · 07:30V. Kilian43712112113A. Akopyan48111071192
V. Kilian10
WSep 24 · 12:43V. Kilian2.001111113P. Muller1.739640LSep 24 · 10:30T. Holomek1.67111113113V. Kilian2.10761551LSep 24 · 10:00P. Muller1.835111110113V. Kilian1.8311471222LAug 27 · 12:28V. Kilian1.53581881M. Cervenka2.38111116113LAug 27 · 12:00V. Kilian1.80711851A. Skyba1.9111811113LAug 27 · 10:30D. Sabuka1.331111113V. Kilian3.259680WAug 27 · 10:00M. Cervenka2.101211581V. Kilian1.6714611113LAug 24 · 12:29D. Sabuka1.53111011113V. Kilian2.38412861LAug 24 · 11:30V. Kucala1.731511123V. Kilian2.00135100LAug 24 · 11:00V. Kilian2.1071211872D. Sabuka1.671110511113
A. Akopyan10
WSep 24 · 13:13A. Akopyan2.50121111163T. Holomek1.5010513141WSep 24 · 11:00P. Muller1.618540A. Akopyan2.201111113LSep 24 · 09:30T. Holomek1.531111113A. Akopyan2.384470WSep 22 · 09:09A. Akopyan1.7311119143J. Vrnak2.008611121WSep 22 · 08:00J. Vrnak1.6791090A. Akopyan2.101112113LSep 22 · 07:00P. Muller1.671071211143A. Akopyan2.101211107122WSep 22 · 05:30A. Skyba1.501188111A. Akopyan2.5091111133LSep 20 · 20:33A. Akopyan2.6381171172J. Mares1.44116118113LSep 20 · 20:00M. Cmil1.611211113A. Akopyan2.2010890LSep 20 · 19:00J. Mares1.5361111113A. Akopyan2.38119361
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.