TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Badanin vs Anton Danylov 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Oleksandr Badanin
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117114611117––
Anton Danylov
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:50 and never touched — 62.5% is still 62.5%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Badanin to win
62.5%
62.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Badanin above · Anton Danylov below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-4
Set 3 · 6-11
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 68 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Oleksandr Badanin at 62.5%
68 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Badanin 3–1 Anton Danylov Anton Danylov has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:50What took a side3 for · 2 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Badanin
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Badanin
Correct
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Badanin 1152 vs Danylov 1091
Badanin
Correct
both rated, 61 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Badanin 20% vs Danylov 60%
Danylov
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Badanin 30% vs Danylov 50%
Danylov
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Badanin +1 · Danylov +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Badanin) · live re-read · sealed at 63% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Danylov form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsBadanin 1.50 / Danylov 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 37%
Edge (Badanin)+0.8pp
Setka Cup · #13185494
Badanin1.50
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite60% won 27 of 45
Up 2–0, closes it100% 16 of 16
Up 1–0, closes it89% 25 of 28
Danylov2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog33% won 29 of 87
Down 0–1, comes back12% 6 of 51
Down 0–2, comes back3% 1 of 30
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeBadanin3wins
AwayDanylov1wins
2 of 4 to a deciderBadanin leads 3–1, and 2 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Badanin2Danylov2n = 4split evenly
S2Badanin3Danylov1n = 4Badanin took 3 of 4
S3Badanin2Danylov2n = 4split evenly
S4Badanin1Danylov2n = 3Danylov took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home250%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricBadaninDanylovB − DBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set220of 4Avg pointsper match40.732.7+8.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricBadaninDanylovBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 318 vs 43 / 13148.4%32.8%154 / 318 vs 43 / 131Avg sets wonper match1.91.5per matchAvg pointsper match36.533.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
BadaninBadanin 1.50/Danylov 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.3%
Badanin · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Badanin won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
LMar 22 · 08:00O. Badanin351111851A. Danylov3913411113
WMar 8 · 13:00O. Badanin331111113A. Danylov82240
WFeb 13 · 18:30O. Badanin549111112113A. Danylov5111981492
O. Badanin10
WSep 24 · 12:00O. Badanin1.3611119133V. Hyriavyi3.009711111LSep 16 · 09:30Y. Zvolynskyi1.201111113O. Badanin4.334550LSep 16 · 08:00O. Badanin4.33541151V. Simchuk1.2011116113LSep 16 · 06:30O. Badanin2.63511111132M. Zavoloka1.44119713113LSep 16 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5061111952S. Honcharenko2.50114511113WSep 14 · 10:38E. Bakin1.91311100O. Badanin1.801113123LSep 14 · 09:30S. Zherykhin2.63711112123O. Badanin1.44119711102WSep 14 · 08:00O. Badanin2.381111113E. Bakin1.538950LSep 14 · 06:30O. Badanin1.579470A. Lysyi2.251111113LSep 14 · 05:00O. Badanin1.5051191182O. Shvydkyi2.50115115113
A. Danylov10
LSep 24 · 14:30A. Danylov1.67111011542V. Hyriavyi2.10512811113WSep 24 · 12:30A. Danylov1.83711911113O. Levytskyi1.8311511842WSep 20 · 16:59V. Matviichuk1.44117691A. Danylov2.6371111113LSep 20 · 16:30A. Lysyi1.671111113A. Danylov2.105860LSep 20 · 15:00A. Danylov2.7571590V. Matviichuk1.401117113WSep 20 · 13:30A. Danylov2.001113113V. Hyriavyi1.7331190LSep 20 · 12:00A. Danylov1.91461171S. Zherykhin1.8011117113LSep 13 · 17:29A. Danylov3.255111131R. Sveshnykov1.3311813113WSep 13 · 15:30R. Sveshnykov1.25141151162A. Danylov3.75164116113WSep 13 · 14:30A. Danylov2.50111193O. Levytskyi1.507770
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