TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Leonenko vs Serhii Solomko 2-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Oleksandr Leonenko
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
8111151179111214
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:30 and never touched — 58.1% is still 58.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
58.1%
58.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 9-11
Set 5 · 12-14
Point 99 set 5, 12-14 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 58.1%
99 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 63–66 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Leonenko has won 63 of their 129 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:30What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Solomko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
63-66 in 129
Solomko
Correct
gap of 3 in 129, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1529 vs Solomko 1518
Leonenko
Wrong
both rated, 11 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 80% vs Solomko 20%
Leonenko
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 70% vs Solomko 50%
Leonenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko +4 · Solomko -1
Leonenko
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (20%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 2.20 / Solomko 1.61
Signal prob.42% / 58%
Edge (Solomko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185416
Leonenko2.20
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 22)
Won last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog45% won 75 of 167
Down 0–1, comes back25% 22 of 89
Down 0–2, comes back11% 6 of 54
Solomko1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it89% 56 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeLeonenko5wins
AwaySolomko5wins
6 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 6 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonenko50%3 of 6
AwaySolomko50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonenko6Solomko4n = 10Leonenko took 6 of 10
S2Leonenko3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S3Leonenko2Solomko8n = 10Solomko took 8 of 10
S4Leonenko5Solomko3n = 8Leonenko took 5 of 8
S5Leonenko3Solomko2n = 5Leonenko took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home440%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricLeonenkoSolomkoL − SBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match39.040.9−1.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 825 vs 531 / 103451.8%51.4%427 / 825 vs 531 / 1034Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoLeonenko 2.20/Solomko 1.61
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
58.1%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Solomko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 21 · 09:50O. Leonenko504111113113S. Solomko49111351192
WSep 11 · 15:30O. Leonenko49111168133S. Solomko45661111112
LMay 21 · 10:50O. Leonenko2471160S. Solomko351113113
LApr 23 · 05:30O. Leonenko4211781152S. Solomko43711113113
WApr 20 · 08:20O. Leonenko491161110113S. Solomko4251161282
LApr 19 · 19:50O. Leonenko237880S. Solomko331111113
WApr 16 · 06:50O. Leonenko4011126113S. Solomko305101141
LApr 13 · 11:50O. Leonenko44114101182S. Solomko47811125113
LApr 9 · 06:50O. Leonenko30136381S. Solomko44111111113
O. Leonenko10
WSep 22 · 11:35O. Leonenko1.73126113113A. Kovalenko2.00101151152WSep 22 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.7351181152O. Leonenko2.00118117113WSep 22 · 08:35O. Leonenko2.001111113F. Voinarovskyi1.739660WSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113LSep 22 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.00311791A. Kurtenko1.7311311113LSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131WSep 21 · 10:50O. Leonenko1.91915126113O. Osadchyi1.801113101152WSep 21 · 09:50O. Leonenko2.204111113113S. Solomko1.61111351192LSep 21 · 08:20O. Leonenko1.9111613141S. Hryhorenko1.8081115163WSep 21 · 06:20O. Leonenko2.2571111113E. Populovskyi1.57115881
S. Solomko10
LSep 24 · 06:35A. Kurtenko2.0011711113S. Solomko1.73911981LSep 21 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.731112113S. Solomko2.0071080WSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.501110691S. Solomko1.2881211113LSep 21 · 09:50O. Leonenko2.204111113113S. Solomko1.61111351192LSep 21 · 07:50O. Osadchyi2.101111133S. Solomko1.6737110LSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko2.10119411113S. Solomko1.6741111992WSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113WSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko1.229111110123E. Populovskyi4.00119812102LSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 07:20A. Kotiash1.80711651S. Solomko1.9111811113
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