TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Oleksandr Leonenko vs Anatolii Kovalenko 3-2 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Oleksandr Leonenko
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1210611115311115
Anatolii Kovalenko
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:19 and never touched — 54.7% is still 54.7%
Graded at full timeOleksandr Leonenko to win
54.7%
54.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingOleksandr Leonenko above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 11-5
Set 4 · 3-11
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 85 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Oleksandr Leonenko at 54.7%
85 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Leonenko 5–4 Anatolii Kovalenko Anatolii Kovalenko has won 4 of their 9 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:19What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Leonenko
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
5-4 in 9
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Leonenko 1522 vs Kovalenko 1412
Leonenko
Correct
both rated, 110 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Leonenko 60% vs Kovalenko 40%
Leonenko
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Leonenko 60% vs Kovalenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Leonenko +3 · Kovalenko -1
Leonenko
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 57% — Slight lean (leans Leonenko) · live re-read · sealed at 55% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLeonenko 1.73 / Kovalenko 2.00
Signal prob.57% / 43%
Edge (Leonenko)+3.2pp
Setka Cup · #13172741
Leonenko1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 3
oldest → newest40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 88 of 143
Up 2–0, closes it95% 35 of 37
Up 1–0, closes it77% 48 of 62
Kovalenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog37% won 26 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeLeonenko5wins
AwayKovalenko4wins
4 of 9 to a deciderLeonenko leads 5–4, and 4 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLeonenko80%4 of 5
AwayKovalenko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Leonenko5Kovalenko4n = 9Leonenko took 5 of 9
S2Leonenko5Kovalenko4n = 9Leonenko took 5 of 9
S3Leonenko2Kovalenko7n = 9Kovalenko took 7 of 9
S4Leonenko3Kovalenko1n = 4Leonenko took 3 of 4
S5Leonenko3Kovalenko1n = 4Leonenko took 3 of 4
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home333%
2–3Decider, away111%
1–3Four sets, away111%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricLeonenkoKovalenkoL − KBasisWins54+1in 9 meetingsFirst set54+1of 9Avg pointsper match38.837.8+1.0per matchSweeps2203–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLeonenkoKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime427 / 825 vs 283 / 53551.8%52.9%427 / 825 vs 283 / 535Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
LeonenkoLeonenko 1.73/Kovalenko 2.00
Hit
What we said
56.9%
Leonenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Leonenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record8
LSep 11 · 16:30O. Leonenko49116911122A. Kovalenko54911119143
WSep 3 · 09:20O. Leonenko361111143A. Kovalenko2787120
WJul 2 · 11:50O. Leonenko331111113A. Kovalenko156540
WJan 8 · 16:10O. Leonenko474111011113A. Kovalenko4511812952
LJan 7 · 10:00O. Leonenko2691070A. Kovalenko341112113
LDec 29 · 10:20O. Leonenko199640A. Kovalenko331111113
WDec 15 · 07:50O. Leonenko491210511113A. Kovalenko49101211882
WNov 30 · 19:20O. Leonenko511111810113A. Kovalenko4587111272
O. Leonenko10
WSep 22 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.7351181152O. Leonenko2.00118117113WSep 22 · 08:35O. Leonenko2.001111113F. Voinarovskyi1.739660WSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113LSep 22 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.00311791A. Kurtenko1.7311311113LSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131WSep 21 · 10:50O. Leonenko1.91915126113O. Osadchyi1.801113101152WSep 21 · 09:50O. Leonenko2.204111113113S. Solomko1.61111351192LSep 21 · 08:20O. Leonenko1.9111613141S. Hryhorenko1.8081115163WSep 21 · 06:20O. Leonenko2.2571111113E. Populovskyi1.57115881LSep 17 · 11:35O. Leonenko2.20101111161O. Osadchyi1.6112813183
A. Kovalenko10
LSep 22 · 10:35F. Voinarovskyi1.8311115113A. Kovalenko1.83781141WSep 22 · 09:05I. Emets1.67511561A. Kovalenko2.1011611113WSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113LSep 22 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.501111113A. Kovalenko2.505860LSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782WSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.635580LSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5012129782A. Kovalenko1.5010101111113WSep 17 · 06:20M. Stetsenko3.00381171A. Kovalenko1.3611117113LSep 15 · 11:35A. Kovalenko1.831011881E. Populovskyi1.8312911113
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