TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Fedir Voinarovskyi vs Anatolii Kovalenko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117118511114––
Anatolii Kovalenko
Away
1.83
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:52 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeAnatolii Kovalenko to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingFedir Voinarovskyi above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 11-8
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 11-4
Point 68 set 4, 11-4 — our read held Anatolii Kovalenko at 54.0%
68 points played in total.
H2H Fedir Voinarovskyi 4–9 Anatolii Kovalenko Fedir Voinarovskyi has won 4 of their 13 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:52What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Kovalenko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-9 in 13
Kovalenko
Wrong
gap of 5 in 13, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Voinarovskyi 1424 vs Kovalenko 1423
Voinarovskyi
Correct
both rated, 0 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Voinarovskyi 40% vs Kovalenko 60%
Kovalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Voinarovskyi 30% vs Kovalenko 50%
Kovalenko
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Voinarovskyi -1 · Kovalenko +2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Kovalenko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVoinarovskyi 1.83 / Kovalenko 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Kovalenko)+4.0pp
Setka Cup · #13172901
Voinarovskyi1.83
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Kovalenko1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVoinarovskyi3wins
AwayKovalenko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderKovalenko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVoinarovskyi33.3%1 of 3
AwayKovalenko71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Voinarovskyi3Kovalenko7n = 10Kovalenko took 7 of 10
S2Voinarovskyi5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Voinarovskyi5Kovalenko5n = 10split evenly
S4Voinarovskyi5Kovalenko3n = 8Voinarovskyi took 5 of 8
S5Voinarovskyi1Kovalenko4n = 5Kovalenko took 4 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away440%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricVoinarovskyiKovalenkoV − KBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match38.541.5−3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVoinarovskyiKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime185 / 364 vs 283 / 53450.8%53%185 / 364 vs 283 / 534Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KovalenkoVoinarovskyi 1.83/Kovalenko 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Kovalenko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 17:30F. Voinarovskyi331111113A. Kovalenko196940
WAug 11 · 16:10F. Voinarovskyi4591411113A. Kovalenko361112671
LApr 6 · 05:05F. Voinarovskyi47111091252A. Kovalenko539121110113
LFeb 9 · 11:00F. Voinarovskyi48109111172A. Kovalenko45121165113
LDec 20 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi259790A. Kovalenko331111113
LDec 15 · 11:50F. Voinarovskyi315121041A. Kovalenko44111012113
WNov 27 · 07:35F. Voinarovskyi44831111113A. Kovalenko4811119982
LNov 18 · 13:10F. Voinarovskyi4111125942A. Kovalenko518101111113
LNov 11 · 15:10F. Voinarovskyi337111051A. Kovalenko4111712113
LNov 3 · 08:30F. Voinarovskyi3854111172A. Kovalenko45111166113
F. Voinarovskyi10
LSep 22 · 08:35O. Leonenko2.001111113F. Voinarovskyi1.739660WSep 22 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.571111111092F. Voinarovskyi2.25139512113LSep 22 · 05:35I. Emets1.67911411113F. Voinarovskyi2.1011511762LSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113WSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113LSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011121101O. Osadchyi1.6113147113LSep 17 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.381511113F. Voinarovskyi1.5313460LSep 16 · 18:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831171061V. Smyk1.8371112113WSep 16 · 16:30F. Voinarovskyi3.2511116113B. Zaika1.33481181
A. Kovalenko10
WSep 22 · 09:05I. Emets1.67511561A. Kovalenko2.1011611113WSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113LSep 22 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.501111113A. Kovalenko2.505860LSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782WSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.635580LSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5012129782A. Kovalenko1.5010101111113WSep 17 · 06:20M. Stetsenko3.00381171A. Kovalenko1.3611117113LSep 15 · 11:35A. Kovalenko1.831011881E. Populovskyi1.8312911113LSep 15 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.531112113A. Kovalenko2.3891080
Upcoming Matches
F. Voinarovskyi
A. Kovalenko
Nothing scheduled
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