TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Emets vs Anatolii Kovalenko 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511116511611––
Anatolii Kovalenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 58.2% is still 58.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
58.2%
58.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Anatolii Kovalenko below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 5-11
Set 4 · 6-11
Point 66 set 4, 6-11 — our read held Ihor Emets at 58.2%
66 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 3–4 Anatolii Kovalenko Ihor Emets has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 0 against · 4 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Emets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1499 vs Kovalenko 1409
Emets
Wrong
both rated, 90 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 40% vs Kovalenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Kovalenko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -1 · Kovalenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 4 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Emets) · live re-read · sealed at 58% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Emets form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.67 / Kovalenko 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Emets)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172812
Emets1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite70% won 64 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Kovalenko2.10
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog37% won 26 of 71
Down 0–1, comes back21% 9 of 44
Down 0–2, comes back7% 2 of 27
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeEmets3wins
AwayKovalenko4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKovalenko leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmetsn = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayKovalenko66.7%4 of 6
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets1Kovalenko6n = 7Kovalenko took 6 of 7
S2Emets5Kovalenko2n = 7Emets took 5 of 7
S3Emets2Kovalenko5n = 7Kovalenko took 5 of 7
S4Emets2Kovalenko3n = 5Kovalenko took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home229%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away343%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricEmetsKovalenkoE − KBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set16−5of 7Avg pointsper match35.139.6−4.5per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsKovalenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 498 vs 282 / 53351%52.9%254 / 498 vs 282 / 533Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.67/Kovalenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Emets · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Kovalenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
WAug 18 · 05:35I. Emets341211113A. Kovalenko2510870
WJul 29 · 07:35I. Emets46711611113A. Kovalenko4111611672
LApr 14 · 11:10I. Emets26081171A. Kovalenko4011117113
WApr 6 · 09:05I. Emets579131113113A. Kovalenko531111131172
LApr 1 · 09:05I. Emets24512251A. Kovalenko43111011113
LFeb 18 · 09:30I. Emets219570A. Kovalenko331111113
LFeb 9 · 09:30I. Emets388111091A. Kovalenko4211812113
I. Emets10
LSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 05:35I. Emets1.67911411113F. Voinarovskyi2.1011511762LSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113WSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991LSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101WSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461LSep 15 · 08:30I. Emets3.2581191182O. Karpenko1.33118118113
A. Kovalenko10
WSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113LSep 22 · 05:05O. Osadchyi1.501111113A. Kovalenko2.505860LSep 17 · 12:50O. Mytsyk2.25612911113A. Kovalenko1.57111011782WSep 17 · 11:20A. Kovalenko1.441111113O. Ovsiienko2.635580LSep 17 · 09:20O. Lipeiko1.911111710113A. Kovalenko1.8046111292WSep 17 · 07:20S. Skhabitskiy2.5012129782A. Kovalenko1.5010101111113WSep 17 · 06:20M. Stetsenko3.00381171A. Kovalenko1.3611117113LSep 15 · 11:35A. Kovalenko1.831011881E. Populovskyi1.8312911113LSep 15 · 09:35O. Osadchyi1.531112113A. Kovalenko2.3891080LSep 15 · 08:35A. Kovalenko1.83711921A. Kurtenko1.8311711113
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