TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Kurtenko vs Serhii Solomko 3-1 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 24Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
2.00
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
119711119118––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.73
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:07 and never touched — 54.1% is still 54.1%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
54.1%
54.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-9
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-8
Point 77 set 4, 11-8 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 54.1%
77 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 41–33 Serhii Solomko Serhii Solomko has won 33 of their 74 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 18:07What took a side2 for · 1 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
41-33 in 74
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 8 in 74, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1438 vs Solomko 1529
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 40% vs Solomko 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 50% vs Solomko 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko -2 · Solomko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 3 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Solomko form (40%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 2.00 / Solomko 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Solomko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13185315
Kurtenko2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog39% won 50 of 130
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 66
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Solomko1.73
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite63% won 114 of 182
Up 2–0, closes it89% 56 of 63
Up 1–0, closes it78% 79 of 101
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko3wins
AwaySolomko7wins
5 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 7–3, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenko60%3 of 5
AwaySolomko100%5 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S2Kurtenko4Solomko6n = 10Solomko took 6 of 10
S3Kurtenko2Solomko8n = 10Solomko took 8 of 10
S4Kurtenko2Solomko6n = 8Solomko took 6 of 8
S5Kurtenko3Solomko1n = 4Kurtenko took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoK − SBasisWins37−4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match38.242.1−3.9per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 665 vs 532 / 103552.5%51.4%349 / 665 vs 532 / 1035Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.037.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoKurtenko 2.00/Solomko 1.73
Miss
What we said
54.1%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko46119411113S. Solomko4441111992
LSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2913880S. Solomko371511113
LSep 13 · 07:50A. Kurtenko351194111S. Solomko3941111133
LSep 12 · 12:00A. Kurtenko4513119572S. Solomko521181111113
LSep 5 · 13:30A. Kurtenko341112651S. Solomko45131011113
LSep 3 · 11:30A. Kurtenko327111131S. Solomko3711110153
LSep 2 · 05:35A. Kurtenko2413830S. Solomko371511113
WAug 23 · 12:50A. Kurtenko47111168113S. Solomko4578111182
WJul 15 · 11:35A. Kurtenko52111199123S. Solomko43651111102
A. Kurtenko10
LSep 24 · 05:05A. Kurtenko1.8011791192E. Populovskyi1.91411116113LSep 22 · 12:05A. Kurtenko3.00511341F. Voinarovskyi1.3611911113WSep 22 · 10:05I. Emets1.676910A. Kurtenko2.101111113WSep 22 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.678670A. Kurtenko2.101111113LSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113WSep 22 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.00311791A. Kurtenko1.7311311113WSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131LSep 21 · 10:20A. Kurtenko3.0031271162S. Hryhorenko1.361110119113LSep 21 · 08:50A. Kurtenko2.25911141392O. Osadchyi1.571161611113WSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691
S. Solomko10
WSep 24 · 05:35O. Leonenko2.20811119122S. Solomko1.61115711143LSep 21 · 12:20S. Hryhorenko1.731112113S. Solomko2.0071080WSep 21 · 11:20E. Populovskyi3.501110691S. Solomko1.2881211113LSep 21 · 09:50O. Leonenko2.204111113113S. Solomko1.61111351192LSep 21 · 07:50O. Osadchyi2.101111133S. Solomko1.6737110LSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko2.10119411113S. Solomko1.6741111992WSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113WSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko1.229111110123E. Populovskyi4.00119812102LSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 07:20A. Kotiash1.80711651S. Solomko1.9111811113
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