TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Andrii Kurtenko vs Fedir Voinarovskyi 1-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Andrii Kurtenko
Home
3.00
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
511119311411––
Fedir Voinarovskyi
Away
1.36
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
3–7Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 19:29 and never touched — 70.4% is still 70.4%
Graded at full timeFedir Voinarovskyi to win
70.4%
70.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingAndrii Kurtenko above · Fedir Voinarovskyi below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Point 65 set 4, 4-11 — our read held Fedir Voinarovskyi at 70.4%
65 points played in total.
H2H Andrii Kurtenko 4–16 Fedir Voinarovskyi Andrii Kurtenko has won 4 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 19:29What took a side2 for · 3 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.36 (69%)
Voinarovskyi
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-16 in 20
Voinarovskyi
Correct
gap of 12 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kurtenko 1463 vs Voinarovskyi 1435
Kurtenko
Wrong
both rated, 28 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kurtenko 80% vs Voinarovskyi 40%
Kurtenko
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kurtenko 60% vs Voinarovskyi 30%
Kurtenko
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kurtenko +2 · Voinarovskyi +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 70% — Strong (leans Voinarovskyi)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Voinarovskyi form (40%) is below what odds imply (73%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKurtenko 3.00 / Voinarovskyi 1.36
Signal prob.30% / 70%
Edge (Voinarovskyi)+1.6pp
Setka Cup · #13172801
Kurtenko3.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Voinarovskyi1.36
30%won 3 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 37 of 64
Up 2–0, closes it89% 24 of 27
Up 1–0, closes it71% 29 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKurtenko1wins
AwayVoinarovskyi9wins
3 of 10 to a deciderVoinarovskyi leads 9–1, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKurtenkon = 1, below the 3 needed
AwayVoinarovskyi88.9%8 of 9
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kurtenko1Voinarovskyi9n = 10Voinarovskyi took 9 of 10
S2Kurtenko3Voinarovskyi7n = 10Voinarovskyi took 7 of 10
S3Kurtenko4Voinarovskyi6n = 10Voinarovskyi took 6 of 10
S4Kurtenko2Voinarovskyi3n = 5Voinarovskyi took 3 of 5
S5Kurtenko0Voinarovskyi3n = 3Voinarovskyi took 3 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricKurtenkoVoinarovskyiK − VBasisWins19−8in 10 meetingsFirst set19−8of 10Avg pointsper match27.237.2−10.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKurtenkoVoinarovskyiBasisWin rate · lifetime349 / 664 vs 186 / 36552.6%51%349 / 664 vs 186 / 365Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.036.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VoinarovskyiKurtenko 3.00/Voinarovskyi 1.36
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.4%
Voinarovskyi · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Voinarovskyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 16 · 12:00A. Kurtenko3721111762F. Voinarovskyi49118811113
LSep 5 · 12:00A. Kurtenko4111381272F. Voinarovskyi496111110113
LAug 27 · 07:50A. Kurtenko4031111692F. Voinarovskyi41114411113
LJun 25 · 12:50A. Kurtenko114340F. Voinarovskyi331111113
LJun 4 · 06:20A. Kurtenko177640F. Voinarovskyi331111113
LMay 25 · 12:50A. Kurtenko197570F. Voinarovskyi331111113
LApr 13 · 06:30A. Kurtenko2998120F. Voinarovskyi361111143
LMar 23 · 10:20A. Kurtenko131480F. Voinarovskyi331111113
WMar 14 · 11:35A. Kurtenko3631111113F. Voinarovskyi29117471
LFeb 16 · 13:50A. Kurtenko29391161F. Voinarovskyi3611113113
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 22 · 10:05I. Emets1.676910A. Kurtenko2.101111113WSep 22 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.678670A. Kurtenko2.101111113LSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113WSep 22 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.00311791A. Kurtenko1.7311311113WSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131LSep 21 · 10:20A. Kurtenko3.0031271162S. Hryhorenko1.361110119113LSep 21 · 08:50A. Kurtenko2.25911141392O. Osadchyi1.571161611113WSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691WSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko2.10119411113S. Solomko1.6741111992LSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113
F. Voinarovskyi10
WSep 22 · 10:35F. Voinarovskyi1.8311115113A. Kovalenko1.83781141LSep 22 · 08:35O. Leonenko2.001111113F. Voinarovskyi1.739660WSep 22 · 06:35O. Osadchyi1.571111111092F. Voinarovskyi2.25139512113LSep 22 · 05:35I. Emets1.67911411113F. Voinarovskyi2.1011511762LSep 17 · 12:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011911952O. Volynets1.61611511113WSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113LSep 17 · 08:05V. Kolesnykov1.281111113F. Voinarovskyi3.509880LSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011121101O. Osadchyi1.6113147113LSep 17 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.381511113F. Voinarovskyi1.5313460LSep 16 · 18:00F. Voinarovskyi1.831171061V. Smyk1.8371112113
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