TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Ihor Emets vs Andrii Kurtenko 0-3 · Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 22Finished
Ihor Emets
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611911111––––
Andrii Kurtenko
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 18:40 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeIhor Emets to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingIhor Emets above · Andrii Kurtenko below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 1-11
Point 49 set 3, 1-11 — our read held Ihor Emets at 56.2%
49 points played in total.
H2H Ihor Emets 9–11 Andrii Kurtenko Ihor Emets has won 9 of their 20 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 18:40What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Emets
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-11 in 20
Kurtenko
Correct
gap of 2 in 20, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Emets 1484 vs Kurtenko 1447
Emets
Wrong
both rated, 37 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Emets 20% vs Kurtenko 60%
Kurtenko
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Emets 40% vs Kurtenko 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Emets -2 · Kurtenko +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Slight lean (leans Emets) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Kurtenko form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsEmets 1.67 / Kurtenko 2.10
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Emets)-0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13172285
Emets1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest0%takes the first set · 0 of 10
As favourite70% won 64 of 91
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it83% 45 of 54
Kurtenko2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog38% won 48 of 127
Down 0–1, comes back12% 8 of 65
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeEmets6wins
AwayKurtenko4wins
3 of 10 to a deciderEmets leads 6–4, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeEmets60%3 of 5
AwayKurtenko40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Emets5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S2Emets5Kurtenko5n = 10split evenly
S3Emets4Kurtenko6n = 10Kurtenko took 6 of 10
S4Emets7Kurtenko1n = 8Emets took 7 of 8
S5Emets1Kurtenko2n = 3Kurtenko took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home550%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricEmetsKurtenkoE − KBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.335.9+4.4per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricEmetsKurtenkoBasisWin rate · lifetime254 / 499 vs 348 / 66450.9%52.4%254 / 499 vs 348 / 664Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.737.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
EmetsEmets 1.67/Kurtenko 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
55.4%
Emets · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Kurtenko won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 3 · 09:30I. Emets44111111113A. Kurtenko27133561
WApr 10 · 08:20I. Emets528111111113A. Kurtenko4511137682
WMar 5 · 11:50I. Emets4111118113A. Kurtenko35691191
WMay 26 · 09:35I. Emets4411911133A. Kurtenko369115111
LMay 22 · 07:20I. Emets229490A. Kurtenko331111113
LMay 8 · 09:00I. Emets3911621192A. Kurtenko39111115113
LApr 22 · 06:00I. Emets511111712102A. Kurtenko49931114123
WApr 17 · 04:30I. Emets4291111113A. Kurtenko24113371
LMar 10 · 06:35I. Emets26410120A. Kurtenko371112143
WFeb 21 · 11:30I. Emets4211119113A. Kurtenko34991151
I. Emets10
LSep 22 · 09:05I. Emets1.67511561A. Kovalenko2.1011611113LSep 22 · 07:35I. Emets1.449860O. Leonenko2.631111113WSep 22 · 05:35I. Emets1.67911411113F. Voinarovskyi2.1011511762LSep 17 · 11:05V. Kolesnykov1.73111155113I. Emets2.0096111152LSep 17 · 10:05I. Emets1.50911741F. Voinarovskyi2.5011911113WSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:35I. Emets1.4461111113O. Leonenko2.63118991LSep 17 · 05:35I. Emets2.004114171O. Volynets1.7311911193LSep 15 · 10:30V. Kolesnykov1.7311813123I. Emets2.0081111101WSep 15 · 09:30I. Emets3.4031116113V. Bilobrov1.301121461
A. Kurtenko10
WSep 22 · 08:05O. Osadchyi1.678670A. Kurtenko2.101111113LSep 22 · 07:05A. Kurtenko1.801041141A. Kovalenko1.9112117113WSep 22 · 06:05O. Leonenko2.00311791A. Kurtenko1.7311311113WSep 21 · 11:50A. Kurtenko1.8011115113O. Leonenko1.91881131LSep 21 · 10:20A. Kurtenko3.0031271162S. Hryhorenko1.361110119113LSep 21 · 08:50A. Kurtenko2.25911141392O. Osadchyi1.571161611113WSep 21 · 07:20A. Kurtenko1.9111911113E. Populovskyi1.80611691WSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko2.10119411113S. Solomko1.6741111992LSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113LSep 20 · 10:50O. Osadchyi1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.207770
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