TT Lossbeater/Setka Cup
Setka Cup
Played Sep 21Finished
Oleksandr Osadchyi
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1131171311––––
Serhii Solomko
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 20:03 and never touched — 56.2% is still 56.2%
Graded at full timeSerhii Solomko to win
56.2%
56.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingOleksandr Osadchyi above · Serhii Solomko below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 13-11
Point 56 set 3, 13-11 — our read held Serhii Solomko at 56.2%
56 points played in total.
H2H Oleksandr Osadchyi 65–94 Serhii Solomko Oleksandr Osadchyi has won 65 of their 159 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 20:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Solomko
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
65-94 in 159
Solomko
Wrong
gap of 29 in 159, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osadchyi 1529 vs Solomko 1535
Solomko
Wrong
both rated, 6 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osadchyi 60% vs Solomko 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osadchyi 60% vs Solomko 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Osadchyi -1 · Solomko -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Solomko)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Osadchyi form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsadchyi 2.10 / Solomko 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Solomko)+0.4pp
Setka Cup · #13166363
Osadchyi2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog44% won 101 of 228
Down 0–1, comes back23% 26 of 115
Down 0–2, comes back4% 3 of 68
Solomko1.67
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite64% won 117 of 183
Up 2–0, closes it91% 58 of 64
Up 1–0, closes it80% 83 of 104
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsadchyi4wins
AwaySolomko6wins
1 of 10 to a deciderSolomko leads 6–4, and 1 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsadchyi50%3 of 6
AwaySolomko75%3 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osadchyi6Solomko4n = 10Osadchyi took 6 of 10
S2Osadchyi3Solomko7n = 10Solomko took 7 of 10
S3Osadchyi5Solomko5n = 10split evenly
S4Osadchyi3Solomko4n = 7Solomko took 4 of 7
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home330%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoO − SBasisWins46−2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match32.934.9−2.0per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsadchyiSolomkoBasisWin rate · lifetime441 / 859 vs 530 / 103151.3%51.4%441 / 859 vs 530 / 1031Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match36.337.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SolomkoOsadchyi 2.10/Solomko 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Solomko · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Osadchyi won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 21 · 07:50O. Osadchyi351111133S. Solomko2137110
LSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi176740S. Solomko331111113
WSep 13 · 05:50O. Osadchyi4011711113S. Solomko32511881
LSep 7 · 07:30O. Osadchyi43111110832S. Solomko48861211113
WSep 3 · 06:00O. Osadchyi3912511113S. Solomko311011731
LSep 2 · 06:35O. Osadchyi25114731S. Solomko3521111113
WAug 30 · 07:20O. Osadchyi4291111113S. Solomko30119551
LAug 29 · 12:00O. Osadchyi34118961S. Solomko4291111113
LAug 27 · 06:35O. Osadchyi399111181S. Solomko4311138113
LAug 24 · 08:30O. Osadchyi1510320S. Solomko341211113
O. Osadchyi10
LSep 21 · 06:50S. Hryhorenko1.801111113O. Osadchyi1.918630WSep 20 · 11:50A. Kotiash1.4011881292O. Osadchyi2.754111110113WSep 20 · 10:50O. Osadchyi1.611111113A. Kurtenko2.207770WSep 20 · 09:50O. Osadchyi1.331111113E. Populovskyi3.259330LSep 20 · 08:20O. Osadchyi1.73821151D. Khairov2.0011117113LSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi2.256740S. Solomko1.571111113WSep 17 · 11:35O. Leonenko2.20101111161O. Osadchyi1.6112813183WSep 17 · 10:35O. Volynets2.38116118102O. Osadchyi1.53511611123LSep 17 · 09:05I. Emets2.0011111113O. Osadchyi1.73117971WSep 17 · 07:05F. Voinarovskyi2.2011121101O. Osadchyi1.6113147113
S. Solomko10
LSep 21 · 05:50A. Kurtenko2.10119411113S. Solomko1.6741111992WSep 20 · 12:50A. Kurtenko2.0013880S. Solomko1.731511113WSep 20 · 11:20S. Solomko1.229111110123E. Populovskyi4.00119812102LSep 20 · 09:20D. Khairov1.44111111133S. Solomko2.639813111WSep 20 · 07:20A. Kotiash1.80711651S. Solomko1.9111811113WSep 20 · 06:20O. Osadchyi2.256740S. Solomko1.571111113WSep 19 · 19:00E. Populovskyi3.758740S. Solomko1.251111113WSep 19 · 17:30S. Solomko1.44111187113S. Baranskyi2.6376111162WSep 19 · 15:30O. Lipeiko1.9111120S. Solomko1.80131183LSep 19 · 13:30A. Martyniuk1.80111081183S. Solomko1.9161211632
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.