TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radomir Vavrecka vs Pavel Smetka 3-2 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.33
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1113115118611116
Pavel Smetka
Away
3.25
At publish
Lost last 7Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 7
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Pavel Smetka below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-8
Set 4 · 6-11
Set 5 · 11-6
Point 93 set 5, 11-6
93 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 2–1 Pavel Smetka Pavel Smetka has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Vavrecka beat Smetka 3-0.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Vavrecka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smetka form (0%) is below what odds imply (31%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.33 / Smetka 3.25
Signal prob.71% / 29%
Edge (Vavrecka)-0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13184941
Vavrecka1.33
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 40 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it64% 25 of 39
Smetka3.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 7
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog39% won 7 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeVavrecka2wins
AwaySmetka1wins
1 of 3 to a deciderVavrecka leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka2Smetka1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
S2Vavrecka1Smetka2n = 3Smetka took 2 of 3
S3Vavrecka2Smetka1n = 3Vavrecka took 2 of 3
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home133%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away133%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricVavreckaSmetkaV − SBasisWins21+1in 3 meetingsFirst set21+1of 3Avg pointsper match35.733.7+2.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaSmetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime156 / 300 vs 69 / 15152%45.7%156 / 300 vs 69 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match37.934.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.33/Smetka 3.25
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.9%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WSep 23 · 14:00R. Vavrecka331111113P. Smetka178180
WDec 19 · 14:30R. Vavrecka44651111113P. Smetka4211114972
LDec 19 · 11:30R. Vavrecka30115591P. Smetka4291111113
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 23 · 16:00R. Vavrecka1.8071112113D. Machander1.911151091LSep 23 · 15:30L. Velicka1.911111113R. Vavrecka1.806790WSep 23 · 14:00R. Vavrecka1.221111113P. Smetka4.008180WSep 20 · 09:29R. Vavrecka2.2041111143R. Skacelik1.611157121WSep 20 · 08:30J. Levicky1.9111311682R. Vavrecka1.80911511113WSep 20 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.611111113J. Schwan2.205760LSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182WSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620WSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950
P. Smetka10
LSep 23 · 16:30P. Smetka1.73116791L. Velicka2.0091111113LSep 23 · 15:00P. Smetka2.10871161D. Machander1.6711114113LSep 23 · 14:00R. Vavrecka1.221111113P. Smetka4.008180LApr 25 · 17:05D. Heczko1.201111113P. Smetka4.335650LApr 25 · 16:00P. Smetka2.639740S. Byrtus1.441111113LApr 25 · 15:30D. Heczko1.441111113P. Smetka2.639450LApr 25 · 14:00P. Smetka1.6757120M. Volny2.101111143WApr 23 · 13:29V. Adamczyk1.5376100P. Smetka2.381111123WApr 23 · 12:30M. Volny1.738760P. Smetka2.001111113LApr 23 · 11:30P. Smetka2.2071110121V. Adamczyk1.6111412143
Upcoming Matches
R. Vavrecka
P. Smetka
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