TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11788731
Played Apr 23Finished
Vladimir Adamczyk
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
7116111012––––
Pavel Smetka
Away
2.38
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingVladimir Adamczyk above · Pavel Smetka below
Set 1 · 7-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 2-4
Point 41 set 3, 2-4
41 points drawn · the score is 16 ahead; the rest land in a moment.
H2H Vladimir Adamczyk 2–0 Pavel Smetka Pavel Smetka has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Adamczyk)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smetka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdamczyk 1.53 / Smetka 2.38
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adamczyk)-6.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11788731
The market does not separate these two
1.53 against 2.38 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Adamczyk1.53
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Smetka2.38
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeAdamczyk2wins
AwaySmetka0wins
Adamczyk leads 2–0.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home2
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricAdamczykSmetkaA − SBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match42.537.5+5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamczykSmetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime36 / 51 vs 66 / 14370.6%46.2%36 / 51 vs 66 / 143Avg sets wonper match2.51.8per matchAvg pointsper match41.034.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamczykAdamczyk 1.53/Smetka 2.38
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Adamczyk · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Smetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
W—V. Adamczyk—3P. Smetka—1
W—V. Adamczyk—3P. Smetka—1
V. Adamczyk10
WAug 25 · 21:05V. Adamczyk2.2591111113R. Vavrecka1.57116271LAug 25 · 20:00V. Adamczyk1.83411481D. Langer1.8311811113WAug 25 · 19:30R. Vavrecka1.8381191192V. Adamczyk1.83116114113LAug 25 · 18:00V. Adamczyk2.0051112862J. Schwan1.731191011113LAug 24 · 08:58D. Oborny1.73111210113V. Adamczyk2.007101281LAug 24 · 08:30V. Adamczyk1.61451161D. Oborny2.2011118113LAug 24 · 07:00V. Adamczyk1.914850A. Walek1.801111113WAug 24 · 06:00D. Heczko2.10811891V. Adamczyk1.6711711113LAug 19 · 21:30V. Adamczyk1.39125811J. Hutnik2.55101111113WAug 19 · 20:00V. Adamczyk2.201411113J. Hutnik1.6112670
P. Smetka10
LApr 25 · 17:05D. Heczko1.201111113P. Smetka4.335650LApr 25 · 16:00P. Smetka2.639740S. Byrtus1.441111113LApr 25 · 15:30D. Heczko1.441111113P. Smetka2.639450LApr 25 · 14:00P. Smetka1.6757120M. Volny2.101111143WApr 23 · 12:30M. Volny1.738760P. Smetka2.001111113LApr 23 · 11:30P. Smetka2.2071110121V. Adamczyk1.6111412143WApr 23 · 10:30J. Levicky2.635950P. Smetka1.441111113WApr 15 · 13:30P. Smetka1.73111110113J. Cabak2.00681241WApr 15 · 12:30P. Smetka1.3312911113M. Blejchar3.251011761WApr 15 · 11:00P. Smetka2.101211113J. Cabak1.6710540
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