TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11784155
Played Apr 23Finished
Marek Volny
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
811711611––––
Pavel Smetka
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingMarek Volny above · Pavel Smetka below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 54 set 3, 6-11
54 points played in total.
H2H Marek Volny 1–1 Pavel Smetka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Volny)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smetka form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVolny 1.73 / Smetka 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Volny)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11784155
The market does not separate these two
1.73 against 2.00 — a coin flip with a margin on top.
Below 3pp of separation the engine pins the read to 50 ± 4 and then drops the pick. So no percentage is published here — the price is the datum.
Volny1.73
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Smetka2.00
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVolny1wins
AwaySmetka1wins
Level at 1–1.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricVolnySmetkaV − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match23.527.5−4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVolnySmetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime83 / 161 vs 66 / 14351.6%46.2%83 / 161 vs 66 / 143Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.434.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VolnyVolny 1.73/Smetka 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Volny · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Smetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
W—M. Volny—0P. Smetka—3
L—M. Volny—3P. Smetka—0
M. Volny10
LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 18 · 21:30J. Levicky2.631011132113M. Volny1.44128111192LAug 18 · 20:00D. Oborny2.501111143M. Volny1.5078120
P. Smetka10
LApr 25 · 17:05D. Heczko1.201111113P. Smetka4.335650LApr 25 · 16:00P. Smetka2.639740S. Byrtus1.441111113LApr 25 · 15:30D. Heczko1.441111113P. Smetka2.639450LApr 25 · 14:00P. Smetka1.6757120M. Volny2.101111143WApr 23 · 13:29V. Adamczyk1.5376100P. Smetka2.381111123LApr 23 · 11:30P. Smetka2.2071110121V. Adamczyk1.6111412143WApr 23 · 10:30J. Levicky2.635950P. Smetka1.441111113WApr 15 · 13:30P. Smetka1.73111110113J. Cabak2.00681241WApr 15 · 12:30P. Smetka1.3312911113M. Blejchar3.251011761WApr 15 · 11:00P. Smetka2.101211113J. Cabak1.6710540
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