TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11744955
Played Apr 15Finished
Pavel Smetka
Home
2.10
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
1210115114––––
Josef Cabak
Away
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
How it is goingPavel Smetka above · Josef Cabak below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-4
Point 53 set 3, 11-4
53 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Smetka 1–0 Josef Cabak Josef Cabak has won 0 of their 1 meetings.
Signal confidence: 53% — Coin-flip (leans Cabak)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smetka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmetka 2.10 / Cabak 1.67
Signal prob.47% / 53%
Edge (Cabak)-2.7pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11744955
Smetka2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Cabak1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 1 meeting
HomeSmetka1wins
AwayCabak0wins
Smetka leads 1–0.
Set by set, in this 1 meetingevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How that 1 finishedn = 1, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
This 1 meeting
MetricSmetkaCabakS − CBasisWins10+1in 1 meetingFirst set01−1of 1Avg pointsper match53.049.0+4.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmetkaCabakBasisWin rate · lifetime66 / 143 vs 48 / 9646.2%50%66 / 143 vs 48 / 96Avg sets wonper match1.82.0per matchAvg pointsper match34.637.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
CabakSmetka 2.10/Cabak 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
53.1%
Cabak · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Smetka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record1
W—P. Smetka—3J. Cabak—2
P. Smetka10
LApr 25 · 17:05D. Heczko1.201111113P. Smetka4.335650LApr 25 · 16:00P. Smetka2.639740S. Byrtus1.441111113LApr 25 · 15:30D. Heczko1.441111113P. Smetka2.639450LApr 25 · 14:00P. Smetka1.6757120M. Volny2.101111143WApr 23 · 13:29V. Adamczyk1.5376100P. Smetka2.381111123WApr 23 · 12:30M. Volny1.738760P. Smetka2.001111113LApr 23 · 11:30P. Smetka2.2071110121V. Adamczyk1.6111412143WApr 23 · 10:30J. Levicky2.635950P. Smetka1.441111113WApr 15 · 13:30P. Smetka1.73111110113J. Cabak2.00681241WApr 15 · 12:30P. Smetka1.3312911113M. Blejchar3.251011761
J. Cabak10
LSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:30J. Cabak1.831111143J. Snr1.8375120WSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171LSep 1 · 06:00L. Martinak1.5711911113J. Cabak2.25911811LAug 27 · 08:59A. Walek2.00117114123J. Cabak1.73511311102WAug 27 · 08:30J. Cabak1.73981111113A. Walek2.0011115382LAug 27 · 07:00J. Cabak1.7349111122D. Heczko2.00111196113LAug 27 · 06:00S. Byrtus2.0071111113J. Cabak1.73116681WAug 25 · 09:00J. Cabak1.73121411113A. Walek2.001412691LApr 15 · 13:30P. Smetka1.73111110113J. Cabak2.00681241
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