TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11792587
Played Apr 25Finished
Pavel Smetka
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
5117111214––––
Marek Volny
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
How it is goingPavel Smetka above · Marek Volny below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 12-14
Point 60 set 3, 12-14
60 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Smetka 1–1 Marek Volny Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Smetka)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Volny form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmetka 1.67 / Volny 2.10
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Smetka)+0.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #11792587
Smetka1.67
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
Volny2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeSmetka1wins
AwayVolny1wins
Level at 1–1.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away1
These 2 meetings
MetricSmetkaVolnyS − VBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match27.523.5+4.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmetkaVolnyBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 151 vs 88 / 17045.7%51.8%69 / 151 vs 88 / 170Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.238.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SmetkaSmetka 1.67/Volny 2.10
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.4%
Smetka · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Volny won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
L—P. Smetka—0M. Volny—3
W—P. Smetka—3M. Volny—0
P. Smetka10
LApr 25 · 17:05D. Heczko1.201111113P. Smetka4.335650LApr 25 · 16:00P. Smetka2.639740S. Byrtus1.441111113LApr 25 · 15:30D. Heczko1.441111113P. Smetka2.639450WApr 23 · 13:29V. Adamczyk1.5376100P. Smetka2.381111123WApr 23 · 12:30M. Volny1.738760P. Smetka2.001111113LApr 23 · 11:30P. Smetka2.2071110121V. Adamczyk1.6111412143WApr 23 · 10:30J. Levicky2.635950P. Smetka1.441111113WApr 15 · 13:30P. Smetka1.73111110113J. Cabak2.00681241WApr 15 · 12:30P. Smetka1.3312911113M. Blejchar3.251011761WApr 15 · 11:00P. Smetka2.101211113J. Cabak1.6710540
M. Volny10
LSep 4 · 08:59M. Heczko1.7311411113M. Volny2.00811551LSep 4 · 08:00M. Heczko1.73911911113M. Volny2.0011811892LSep 4 · 07:00A. Rinka1.67941111113M. Volny2.1011116582LSep 4 · 06:30M. Volny1.8071090R. Vavrecka1.911112113LSep 3 · 13:02A. Rinka1.721111113M. Volny2.007660LSep 3 · 12:30M. Volny1.831269101A. Rinka1.83101111123LSep 3 · 11:00M. Volny2.00111011582M. Heczko1.73612811113WSep 3 · 10:00P. Danko1.91128911112M. Volny1.801011112133LAug 18 · 21:30J. Levicky2.631011132113M. Volny1.44128111192LApr 23 · 12:30M. Volny1.738760P. Smetka2.001111113
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