TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #11793931
Played Apr 25Finished
Pavel Smetka
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
911711411––––
Samuel Byrtus
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
How it is goingPavel Smetka above · Samuel Byrtus below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 7-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 53 set 3, 4-11
53 points played in total.
H2H Pavel Smetka 1–3 Samuel Byrtus Pavel Smetka has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Byrtus)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Byrtus form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSmetka 2.63 / Byrtus 1.44
Signal prob.37% / 63%
Edge (Byrtus)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #11793931
Smetka2.63
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
Byrtus1.44
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeSmetka1wins
AwayByrtus3wins
Byrtus leads 3–1.
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Smetka1Byrtus3n = 4Byrtus took 3 of 4
S2Smetka2Byrtus2n = 4split evenly
S3Smetka0Byrtus4n = 4Byrtus took 4 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away125%
0–3Straight, away250%
These 4 meetings
MetricSmetkaByrtusS − BBasisWins13−2in 4 meetingsFirst set13−2of 4Avg pointsper match28.536.8−8.3per matchSweeps02−23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSmetkaByrtusBasisWin rate · lifetime69 / 151 vs 178 / 34945.7%51%69 / 151 vs 178 / 349Avg sets wonper match1.82.1per matchAvg pointsper match34.237.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
ByrtusSmetka 2.63/Byrtus 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.9%
Byrtus · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Byrtus won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
L—P. Smetka—3S. Byrtus—0
L—P. Smetka—3S. Byrtus—0
L—P. Smetka—1S. Byrtus—3
W—P. Smetka—3S. Byrtus—1
P. Smetka10
LApr 25 · 17:05D. Heczko1.201111113P. Smetka4.335650LApr 25 · 15:30D. Heczko1.441111113P. Smetka2.639450LApr 25 · 14:00P. Smetka1.6757120M. Volny2.101111143WApr 23 · 13:29V. Adamczyk1.5376100P. Smetka2.381111123WApr 23 · 12:30M. Volny1.738760P. Smetka2.001111113LApr 23 · 11:30P. Smetka2.2071110121V. Adamczyk1.6111412143WApr 23 · 10:30J. Levicky2.635950P. Smetka1.441111113WApr 15 · 13:30P. Smetka1.73111110113J. Cabak2.00681241WApr 15 · 12:30P. Smetka1.3312911113M. Blejchar3.251011761WApr 15 · 11:00P. Smetka2.101211113J. Cabak1.6710540
S. Byrtus10
LSep 2 · 16:59D. Heczko1.83118711113S. Byrtus1.8381111572LSep 2 · 16:00D. Heczko1.911211113S. Byrtus1.8010850LSep 2 · 15:00A. Walek2.0011911123S. Byrtus1.738116101LSep 2 · 14:30S. Byrtus1.73211661D. Langer2.0011911113WSep 1 · 09:30J. Cabak1.80111271672S. Byrtus1.915101118113WSep 1 · 08:00L. Martinak1.83113101172S. Byrtus1.83711126113LSep 1 · 07:00J. Cabak1.8311117113S. Byrtus1.83651171WSep 1 · 06:30S. Byrtus2.001111113J. Snr1.738770WAug 31 · 09:07D. Langer2.254980S. Byrtus1.571111113LAug 31 · 08:00S. Byrtus1.91814110D. Heczko1.801116133
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