TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Radomir Vavrecka vs Pavel Smetka 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 23Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
118111118––––
Pavel Smetka
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:53 and never touched — 66.7% is still 66.7%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
66.7%
66.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Pavel Smetka below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 11-1
Set 3 · 11-8
Point 50 set 3, 11-8 — our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 66.7%
50 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 1–1 Pavel Smetka Dead even across their 2 meetings.
Last 2 · 1–1Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:53What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-1 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1593 vs Smetka 1539
Vavrecka
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 80% vs Smetka 20%
Vavrecka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 90% vs Smetka 50%
Vavrecka
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka +3 · Smetka -4
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 67% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Smetka form (20%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.50 / Smetka 2.50
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Vavrecka)+0.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13177144
Vavrecka1.50
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 20)
Won last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite51% won 40 of 79
Up 2–0, closes it90% 17 of 19
Up 1–0, closes it64% 25 of 39
Smetka2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 151 days ago (Apr 25) · back after a break
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog39% won 7 of 18
Down 0–1, comes back8% 1 of 12
Down 0–2, comes back11% 1 of 9
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeVavrecka1wins
AwaySmetka1wins
1 of 2 to a deciderLevel at 1–1, and 1 of those 2 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home0
3–1Four sets, home0
3–2Decider, home1
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away1
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricVavreckaSmetkaV − SBasisWins110in 2 meetingsFirst set110of 2Avg pointsper match37.042.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaSmetkaBasisWin rate · lifetime154 / 297 vs 69 / 15151.9%45.7%154 / 297 vs 69 / 151Avg sets wonper match2.11.8per matchAvg pointsper match38.034.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
VavreckaVavrecka 1.50/Smetka 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
62.5%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WDec 19 · 14:30R. Vavrecka44651111113P. Smetka4211114972
LDec 19 · 11:30R. Vavrecka30115591P. Smetka4291111113
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 20 · 09:29R. Vavrecka2.2041111143R. Skacelik1.611157121WSep 20 · 08:30J. Levicky1.9111311682R. Vavrecka1.80911511113WSep 20 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.611111113J. Schwan2.205760LSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182WSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620WSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950WSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113WSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661WSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112
P. Smetka10
LSep 23 · 15:00P. Smetka2.10871161D. Machander1.6711114113LApr 25 · 17:05D. Heczko1.201111113P. Smetka4.335650LApr 25 · 16:00P. Smetka2.639740S. Byrtus1.441111113LApr 25 · 15:30D. Heczko1.441111113P. Smetka2.639450LApr 25 · 14:00P. Smetka1.6757120M. Volny2.101111143WApr 23 · 13:29V. Adamczyk1.5376100P. Smetka2.381111123WApr 23 · 12:30M. Volny1.738760P. Smetka2.001111113LApr 23 · 11:30P. Smetka2.2071110121V. Adamczyk1.6111412143WApr 23 · 10:30J. Levicky2.635950P. Smetka1.441111113WApr 15 · 13:30P. Smetka1.73111110113J. Cabak2.00681241
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