TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
1.67
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 2
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
113117811411118
Radomir Vavrecka
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 6Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 6
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:55 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadomir Vavrecka to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Radomir Vavrecka below
Set 1 · 11-3
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 4-11
Set 5 · 11-8
Point 85 set 5, 11-8 — our read held Radomir Vavrecka at 54.0%
85 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 6–3 Radomir Vavrecka Radomir Vavrecka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:55What took a side3 for · 3 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
6-3 in 9
Skacelik
Correct
gap of 3 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Skacelik 1636 vs Vavrecka 1569
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 67 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Skacelik 40% vs Vavrecka 100%
Vavrecka
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Skacelik 40% vs Vavrecka 70%
Vavrecka
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Skacelik -2 · Vavrecka +6
Vavrecka
Wrong
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 58% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Vavrecka form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 1.67 / Vavrecka 2.10
Signal prob.58% / 42%
Edge (Skacelik)+2.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159169
Skacelik1.67
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 18)
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Vavrecka2.10
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
Won last 6
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog40% won 39 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSkacelik6wins
AwayVavrecka3wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSkacelik leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik85.7%6 of 7
AwayVavreckan = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik7Vavrecka2n = 9Skacelik took 7 of 9
S2Skacelik6Vavrecka3n = 9Skacelik took 6 of 9
S3Skacelik2Vavrecka7n = 9Vavrecka took 7 of 9
S4Skacelik3Vavrecka3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home222%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away111%
These 9 meetings
MetricSkacelikVavreckaS − VBasisWins63+3in 9 meetingsFirst set72+5of 9Avg pointsper match37.135.8+1.3per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikVavreckaBasisWin rate · lifetime223 / 462 vs 152 / 29548.3%51.5%223 / 462 vs 152 / 295Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.837.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikSkacelik 1.67/Vavrecka 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
57.8%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik45111184113R. Vavrecka4037111182
WAug 19 · 10:00R. Skacelik3611113113R. Vavrecka32571191
LAug 4 · 21:28R. Skacelik33911491R. Vavrecka4011711113
WAug 4 · 19:30R. Skacelik3611113113R. Vavrecka29491151
LApr 7 · 19:30R. Skacelik279990R. Vavrecka331111113
WMar 30 · 16:00R. Skacelik331111113R. Vavrecka247890
LMar 27 · 09:00R. Skacelik361178101R. Vavrecka4391111123
WJan 21 · 22:01R. Skacelik511110712113R. Vavrecka50812111092
WJan 21 · 21:30R. Skacelik371111153R. Vavrecka3199130
R. Skacelik10
WSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113LSep 18 · 08:58R. Skacelik1.7321270D. Heczko2.001114113LSep 18 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.6710114131D. Heczko2.1012611153WSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113LSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.5312711892S. Byrtus2.381011211113WSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872WSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113LSep 17 · 15:30R. Skacelik2.2511881132Z. Pagac1.57711119113LSep 17 · 14:30D. Unzeitig1.6710111111113R. Skacelik2.1012513952WSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky2.201161171R. Skacelik1.6113115113
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 20 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.611111113J. Schwan2.205760WSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620WSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950WSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113WSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661WSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112LSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452
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