TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13147709
Played Sep 17Finished
Richard Skacelik
Home
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
1311911811118117
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
1.73
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 3
How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 13-11
Set 2 · 9-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 11-8
Set 5 · 11-7
Point 100 set 5, 11-7
100 points played in total.
H2H Richard Skacelik 18–21 Jaroslav Schwan Richard Skacelik has won 18 of their 39 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
Same-day rematch · 1h before this match
Skacelik beat Schwan 3-1.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schwan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (58%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSkacelik 2.00 / Schwan 1.73
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Schwan)+0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13147709
Skacelik2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 77 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Schwan1.73
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 3
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 42 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it73% 27 of 37
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSkacelik5wins
AwaySchwan5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSkacelik71.4%5 of 7
AwaySchwan100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Skacelik7Schwan3n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S2Skacelik3Schwan7n = 10Schwan took 7 of 10
S3Skacelik6Schwan4n = 10Skacelik took 6 of 10
S4Skacelik4Schwan3n = 7Skacelik took 4 of 7
S5Skacelik2Schwan3n = 5Schwan took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSkacelikSchwanSkacelik − SchwanBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match40.537.8+2.7per matchSweeps21+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSkacelikSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime218 / 456 vs 136 / 28547.8%47.7%218 / 456 vs 136 / 285Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match39.737.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanSkacelik 2.00/Schwan 1.73
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 17 · 16:30R. Skacelik4412912113J. Schwan3910111081
LSep 9 · 11:30R. Skacelik44119311102J. Schwan45511116123
WSep 6 · 16:00R. Skacelik351311113J. Schwan2111730
LSep 2 · 15:00R. Skacelik361195111J. Schwan4381111133
WJun 25 · 12:58R. Skacelik541181113113J. Schwan4381171522
LJun 25 · 10:00R. Skacelik4787131182J. Schwan491111115113
LMay 21 · 13:30R. Skacelik239950J. Schwan331111113
LMay 21 · 11:00R. Skacelik4394111182J. Schwan41111135113
WMay 20 · 07:00R. Skacelik46111167113J. Schwan4156111182
WMay 4 · 07:00R. Skacelik331111113J. Schwan239590
R. Skacelik10
WSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113LSep 17 · 15:30R. Skacelik2.2511881132Z. Pagac1.57711119113LSep 17 · 14:30D. Unzeitig1.6710111111113R. Skacelik2.1012513952WSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky2.201161171R. Skacelik1.6113115113LSep 16 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.44811791J. Levicky2.6311611113WSep 16 · 07:30S. Kysely1.91119991R. Skacelik1.8031111113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.831111143P. Danko1.8358120LSep 14 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.4987111172S. Byrtus2.40111185113LSep 14 · 16:00D. Machander1.8011101110113R. Skacelik1.9191291272WSep 14 · 15:00S. Byrtus2.63891141R. Skacelik1.4411116113
J. Schwan10
LSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Schwan2.506460D. Unzeitig1.501111113LSep 17 · 14:00Z. Pagac1.3091311113J. Schwan3.401111511WSep 16 · 13:30J. Schwan1.65111111113S. Kysely2.10961341LSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112WSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:30S. Kysely2.201199101J. Schwan1.6161111123WSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751WSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:00J. Schwan1.73101111113J. Levicky2.00127631
Upcoming Matches
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