TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145261
Played Sep 17Finished
Daniel Unzeitig
Home
1.67
At publish
Won last 3Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 3
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
10121151113119115
Richard Skacelik
Away
2.10
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeDaniel Unzeitig to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingDaniel Unzeitig above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-13
Set 4 · 11-9
Set 5 · 11-5
Point 98 set 5, 11-5 — our read held Daniel Unzeitig at 54.0%
98 points played in total.
H2H Daniel Unzeitig 8–6 Richard Skacelik Richard Skacelik has won 6 of their 14 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Unzeitig
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
8-6 in 14
Unzeitig
Correct
gap of 2 in 14, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Unzeitig 1661 vs Skacelik 1652
Unzeitig
Correct
both rated, 9 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Unzeitig 80% vs Skacelik 60%
Unzeitig
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Unzeitig 60% vs Skacelik 60%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Unzeitig +3 · Skacelik +1
Unzeitig
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Unzeitig)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (60%) outperforms what odds imply (48%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsUnzeitig 1.67 / Skacelik 2.10
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Unzeitig)-1.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13145261
Unzeitig1.67
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Won last 3
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 45 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it65% 30 of 46
Skacelik2.10
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog48% won 77 of 162
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeUnzeitig7wins
AwaySkacelik3wins
7 of 10 to a deciderUnzeitig leads 7–3, and 7 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeUnzeitig80%4 of 5
AwaySkacelik40%2 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Unzeitig5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly
S2Unzeitig8Skacelik2n = 10Unzeitig took 8 of 10
S3Unzeitig6Skacelik4n = 10Unzeitig took 6 of 10
S4Unzeitig1Skacelik7n = 8Skacelik took 7 of 8
S5Unzeitig5Skacelik2n = 7Unzeitig took 5 of 7
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home550%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricUnzeitigSkacelikU − SBasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.038.0+3.0per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricUnzeitigSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime141 / 300 vs 217 / 45347%47.9%141 / 300 vs 217 / 453Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.539.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UnzeitigUnzeitig 1.67/Skacelik 2.10
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Unzeitig · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Unzeitig won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LAug 2 · 15:30D. Unzeitig206770R. Skacelik331111113
WJul 17 · 09:28D. Unzeitig491161110113R. Skacelik4561191272
WJul 17 · 07:30D. Unzeitig47811116113R. Skacelik3311251142
WJul 3 · 15:30D. Unzeitig331111113R. Skacelik176470
WJun 6 · 19:30D. Unzeitig48111178113R. Skacelik3876111132
LMay 28 · 21:30D. Unzeitig43111164112R. Skacelik47931111133
LMay 28 · 18:00D. Unzeitig4491111762R. Skacelik51119911113
WMar 2 · 18:30D. Unzeitig3512111113R. Skacelik331031191
WMar 2 · 15:30D. Unzeitig43511114123R. Skacelik44114811102
WFeb 28 · 17:30D. Unzeitig481011115113R. Skacelik3912381152
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 17 · 16:00Z. Pagac1.5361111113D. Unzeitig2.38117891WSep 17 · 15:00J. Schwan2.506460D. Unzeitig1.501111113WSep 12 · 13:30D. Unzeitig1.701115113A. Walek2.0081360WSep 12 · 12:30D. Unzeitig1.671111113A. Walek2.103660WSep 12 · 11:00D. Unzeitig2.38111287113M. Bereiter1.53610111192LSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac1.4461112113D. Unzeitig2.631181071WSep 11 · 17:00D. Unzeitig2.00111311113M. Holub1.70815861LSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.571111113D. Unzeitig2.258680WSep 11 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.50114511113M. Holub1.5061111532LSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8311611113D. Unzeitig1.83811961
R. Skacelik10
WSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113LSep 17 · 15:30R. Skacelik2.2511881132Z. Pagac1.57711119113WSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky2.201161171R. Skacelik1.6113115113LSep 16 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.44811791J. Levicky2.6311611113WSep 16 · 07:30S. Kysely1.91119991R. Skacelik1.8031111113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.831111143P. Danko1.8358120LSep 14 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.4987111172S. Byrtus2.40111185113LSep 14 · 16:00D. Machander1.8011101110113R. Skacelik1.9191291272WSep 14 · 15:00S. Byrtus2.63891141R. Skacelik1.4411116113WSep 14 · 14:30R. Skacelik1.671191211113D. Oborny2.1081114272
Upcoming Matches
D. Unzeitig
Nothing scheduled
R. Skacelik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.