TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13139787
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaroslav Schwan
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
8–2Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
611411611––––
Daniel Unzeitig
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
7–3Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:37 and never touched — 54.6% is still 54.6%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
54.6%
54.6%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Schwan above · Daniel Unzeitig below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 6-11
Point 49 set 3, 6-11 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 54.6%
49 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Schwan 1–2 Daniel Unzeitig Jaroslav Schwan has won 1 of their 3 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:37What took a side0 for · 4 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Unzeitig
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-2 in 3
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schwan 1661 vs Unzeitig 1681
Unzeitig
Correct
both rated, 20 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schwan 60% vs Unzeitig 80%
Unzeitig
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schwan 80% vs Unzeitig 70%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schwan -1 · Unzeitig +4
Unzeitig
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
0 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 60% — Slight lean (leans Unzeitig) · live re-read · sealed at 45% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Unzeitig form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchwan 2.50 / Unzeitig 1.50
Signal prob.40% / 60%
Edge (Unzeitig)-2.8pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13139787
Schwan2.50
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog35% won 18 of 52
Down 0–1, comes back29% 10 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back14% 3 of 22
Unzeitig1.50
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Won last 4
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 45 of 78
Up 2–0, closes it83% 25 of 30
Up 1–0, closes it65% 30 of 46
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 3 meetings
HomeSchwan1wins
AwayUnzeitig2wins
1 of 3 to a deciderUnzeitig leads 2–1, and 1 of those 3 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 3 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schwan1Unzeitig2n = 3Unzeitig took 2 of 3
S2Schwan1Unzeitig2n = 3Unzeitig took 2 of 3
S3Schwan1Unzeitig2n = 3Unzeitig took 2 of 3
S4Schwan1Unzeitig2n = 3Unzeitig took 2 of 3
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 3 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 3 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home00%
3–2Decider, home133%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away267%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 3 meetings
MetricSchwanUnzeitigS − UBasisWins12−1in 3 meetingsFirst set12−1of 3Avg pointsper match38.043.0−5.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchwanUnzeitigBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 283 vs 142 / 30148.1%47.2%136 / 283 vs 142 / 301Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.6per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
UnzeitigSchwan 2.50/Unzeitig 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
59.7%
Unzeitig · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Unzeitig won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record3
WFeb 1 · 11:00J. Schwan47841111133D. Unzeitig44111147112
LJan 19 · 10:00J. Schwan351310751D. Unzeitig45111211113
LJan 19 · 09:30J. Schwan32711681D. Unzeitig4011711113
J. Schwan10
LSep 17 · 14:00Z. Pagac1.3091311113J. Schwan3.401111511WSep 16 · 13:30J. Schwan1.65111111113S. Kysely2.10961341LSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112WSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:30S. Kysely2.201199101J. Schwan1.6161111123WSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751WSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:00J. Schwan1.73101111113J. Levicky2.00127631WSep 15 · 10:00A. Rinka1.73145771J. Schwan2.00121111113WSep 15 · 09:30J. Schwan1.731111113S. Byrtus2.006830
D. Unzeitig10
LSep 17 · 16:00Z. Pagac1.5361111113D. Unzeitig2.38117891WSep 17 · 14:30D. Unzeitig1.6710111111113R. Skacelik2.1012513952WSep 12 · 13:30D. Unzeitig1.701115113A. Walek2.0081360WSep 12 · 12:30D. Unzeitig1.671111113A. Walek2.103660WSep 12 · 11:00D. Unzeitig2.38111287113M. Bereiter1.53610111192LSep 12 · 10:00Z. Pagac1.4461112113D. Unzeitig2.631181071WSep 11 · 17:00D. Unzeitig2.00111311113M. Holub1.70815861LSep 11 · 16:30Z. Pagac1.571111113D. Unzeitig2.258680WSep 11 · 15:30D. Unzeitig2.50114511113M. Holub1.5061111532LSep 11 · 14:30T. Kypr1.8311611113D. Unzeitig1.83811961
Upcoming Matches
J. Schwan
D. Unzeitig
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