TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga ProMatch #13145281
Played Sep 17Finished
Jaroslav Schwan
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
10121191012811––
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJaroslav Schwan above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 10-12
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 10-12
Set 4 · 8-11
Point 83 set 4, 8-11 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 54.0%
83 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Schwan 21–17 Richard Skacelik Richard Skacelik has won 17 of their 38 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 08:33What took a side3 for · 1 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
21-17 in 38
Schwan
Wrong
gap of 4 in 38, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schwan 1648 vs Skacelik 1622
Schwan
Wrong
both rated, 26 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schwan 40% vs Skacelik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schwan 70% vs Skacelik 50%
Schwan
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Schwan -2 · Skacelik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Schwan)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (40%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchwan 1.83 / Skacelik 1.83
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Schwan)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13145281
Schwan1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
Skacelik1.83
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSchwan5wins
AwaySkacelik5wins
5 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 5 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchwan100%3 of 3
AwaySkacelik71.4%5 of 7
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schwan3Skacelik7n = 10Skacelik took 7 of 10
S2Schwan6Skacelik4n = 10Schwan took 6 of 10
S3Schwan5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly
S4Schwan3Skacelik4n = 7Skacelik took 4 of 7
S5Schwan3Skacelik2n = 5Schwan took 3 of 5
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home110%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away220%
These 10 meetings
MetricSchwanSkacelikSchwan − SkacelikBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set37−4of 10Avg pointsper match37.439.9−2.5per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchwanSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime136 / 284 vs 217 / 45547.9%47.7%136 / 284 vs 217 / 455Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.939.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanSchwan 1.83/Skacelik 1.83
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 9 · 11:30J. Schwan45511116123R. Skacelik44119311102
LSep 6 · 16:00J. Schwan2111730R. Skacelik351311113
WSep 2 · 15:00J. Schwan4381111133R. Skacelik361195111
LJun 25 · 12:58J. Schwan4381171522R. Skacelik541181113113
WJun 25 · 10:00J. Schwan491111115113R. Skacelik4787131182
WMay 21 · 13:30J. Schwan331111113R. Skacelik239950
WMay 21 · 11:00J. Schwan41111135113R. Skacelik4394111182
LMay 20 · 07:00J. Schwan4156111182R. Skacelik46111167113
LMay 4 · 07:00J. Schwan239590R. Skacelik331111113
LMay 1 · 18:30J. Schwan35971181R. Skacelik3811115113
J. Schwan10
LSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872LSep 17 · 15:00J. Schwan2.506460D. Unzeitig1.501111113LSep 17 · 14:00Z. Pagac1.3091311113J. Schwan3.401111511WSep 16 · 13:30J. Schwan1.65111111113S. Kysely2.10961341LSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112WSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:30S. Kysely2.201199101J. Schwan1.6161111123WSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751WSep 15 · 12:30J. Schwan1.301311113M. Heczko3.4011650WSep 15 · 11:00J. Schwan1.73101111113J. Levicky2.00127631
R. Skacelik10
WSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872LSep 17 · 15:30R. Skacelik2.2511881132Z. Pagac1.57711119113LSep 17 · 14:30D. Unzeitig1.6710111111113R. Skacelik2.1012513952WSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky2.201161171R. Skacelik1.6113115113LSep 16 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.44811791J. Levicky2.6311611113WSep 16 · 07:30S. Kysely1.91119991R. Skacelik1.8031111113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.831111143P. Danko1.8358120LSep 14 · 17:30R. Skacelik1.4987111172S. Byrtus2.40111185113LSep 14 · 16:00D. Machander1.8011101110113R. Skacelik1.9191291272WSep 14 · 15:00S. Byrtus2.63891141R. Skacelik1.4411116113
Upcoming Matches
J. Schwan
Nothing scheduled
R. Skacelik
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.