Richard Skacelik vs Zbynek Pagac 2-3

TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro

Czech Liga ProMatch #13145282

Played Sep 17Finished

Richard Skacelik

Home

2.25

At publish

Lost last 1

Form at publish

5–5Last 10Lost last 1

Final

2 – 3

Set by set

117811811119311

Zbynek Pagac

Away

1.57

At publish

Won last 2

Form at publish

6–4Last 10Won last 2

The read, and what happenedsealed at 08:33 and never touched — 58.9% is still 58.9%

Graded at full time

Zbynek Pagac to win

58.9%

Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.

Read

Right

not sent

«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.

How it is goingRichard Skacelik above · Zbynek Pagac below

Set 1 · 11-7

Set 2 · 8-11

Set 3 · 8-11

Set 4 · 11-9

Set 5 · 3-11

Point 90 set 5, 3-11 — our read held Zbynek Pagac at 58.9%

90 points played in total.

The pickNothing sent

Sealed 08:33

What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent

SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way

Market

1.57 (59%)

Pagac

Correct

no bar to clear — a priced side always votes

H2H

No meetings

—

No value

they have never met

Rating (G2)

Skacelik 1632 vs Pagac 1648

Pagac

Correct

both rated, 16 points apart — no bar to clear

Form (L5)

Skacelik 60% vs Pagac 80%

Pagac

Correct

20pp gap, over the 15pp bar

Form (L10)

Skacelik 50% vs Pagac 60%

—

Too close

10pp gap, under the 15pp bar

Streak

Skacelik -1 · Pagac +2

—

Too close

neither holds a run of 3 on their own

Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.

This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.

3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.

Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Pagac)

Decision Summary

Why this prediction

Pagac form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (64%)

Market vs Signals

Market oddsSkacelik 2.25 / Pagac 1.57

Signal prob.41% / 59%

Edge (Pagac)+0.0pp

Czech Liga Pro · #13145282

Skacelik2.25

50%won 5 of 10 · last 10

oldest → newest

50%takes the first set · 5 of 10

As underdog48% won 77 of 162

Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 87

Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41

Pagac1.57

60%won 6 of 10 · last 10

Won last 2

oldest → newest

40%takes the first set · 4 of 10

As favourite60% won 117 of 196

Up 2–0, closes it95% 52 of 55

Up 1–0, closes it79% 78 of 99

Head to head

H2H window

First meeting

These two have never played each other. It is not a loading failure: there is no history. The career card below still stands — it is the only comparison available.

Career, not this matchup

MetricSkacelikPagacBasisWin rate · lifetime217 / 454 vs 318 / 66847.8%47.6%217 / 454 vs 318 / 668Avg sets wonper match2.11.9per matchAvg pointsper match39.736.3per match

Deep Dive by Market

Each market builds on the overview above

Forecast

History

Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction

Match Winner

Pagac

Skacelik 2.25/Pagac 1.57

Read onlywould have hit

What we said

58.9%

Pagac · sealed before the serve

What happened

2–3

Pagac won

Total sets · Score

These two have never met.

The three history tabs read the same head-to-head record, so they go down together — one message, not three empty cards. The three forecast tabs are unaffected and stay open.

Recent Results

R. Skacelik10