TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
115117116––––
Jaroslav Schwan
Away
2.20
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:12 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Jaroslav Schwan below
Set 1 · 11-5
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 11-6
Point 51 set 3, 11-6 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 54.0%
51 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 12–5 Jaroslav Schwan Jaroslav Schwan has won 5 of their 17 meetings.
The pickContradict
Sealed 13:12What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.61 (58%)
Vavrecka
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-5 in 17
Vavrecka
Correct
gap of 7 in 17, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Vavrecka 1552 vs Schwan 1623
Schwan
Wrong
both rated, 71 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Vavrecka 80% vs Schwan 20%
Vavrecka
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Vavrecka 60% vs Schwan 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Vavrecka -1 · Schwan +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Contradict.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Vavrecka) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (45%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 1.61 / Schwan 2.20
Signal prob.56% / 44%
Edge (Vavrecka)-1.6pp (anti-value)
Czech Liga Pro · #13159487
Vavrecka1.61
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite49% won 38 of 77
Up 2–0, closes it89% 16 of 18
Up 1–0, closes it63% 24 of 38
Schwan2.20
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog33% won 18 of 54
Down 0–1, comes back28% 10 of 36
Down 0–2, comes back13% 3 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeVavrecka6wins
AwaySchwan4wins
4 of 10 to a deciderVavrecka leads 6–4, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavrecka66.7%4 of 6
AwaySchwan50%2 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka6Schwan4n = 10Vavrecka took 6 of 10
S2Vavrecka7Schwan3n = 10Vavrecka took 7 of 10
S3Vavrecka2Schwan8n = 10Schwan took 8 of 10
S4Vavrecka5Schwan3n = 8Vavrecka took 5 of 8
S5Vavrecka3Schwan1n = 4Vavrecka took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away330%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricVavreckaSchwanV − SBasisWins64+2in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match38.439.1−0.7per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaSchwanBasisWin rate · lifetime151 / 294 vs 137 / 28751.4%47.7%151 / 294 vs 137 / 287Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanVavrecka 1.61/Schwan 2.20
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.1%
Vavrecka · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka48711611133J. Schwan47115119112
LSep 15 · 07:30R. Vavrecka31115691J. Schwan4071111113
LAug 25 · 20:30R. Vavrecka43115101162J. Schwan44411126113
LAug 21 · 07:00R. Vavrecka30414481J. Schwan45111211113
WAug 17 · 20:58R. Vavrecka341112113J. Schwan2781090
WAug 17 · 19:00R. Vavrecka3711114113J. Schwan35891171
WJul 29 · 06:30R. Vavrecka331111113J. Schwan269890
WMay 29 · 08:30R. Vavrecka491141211113J. Schwan4481114562
LMay 14 · 20:30R. Vavrecka32911751J. Schwan3911611113
WMar 20 · 10:00R. Vavrecka474111011113J. Schwan4411812942
R. Vavrecka10
LSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182WSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620WSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950WSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113WSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661WSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112LSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113LSep 16 · 10:00M. Heczko2.2081116113R. Vavrecka1.611141461LSep 15 · 09:03M. Heczko2.00511711113R. Vavrecka1.7311711452
J. Schwan10
WSep 20 · 08:00J. Schwan1.8311811123R. Skacelik1.837118101WSep 20 · 06:00J. Schwan1.50611812113J. Levicky2.50119111012LSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872LSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Schwan2.506460D. Unzeitig1.501111113LSep 17 · 14:00Z. Pagac1.3091311113J. Schwan3.401111511WSep 16 · 13:30J. Schwan1.65111111113S. Kysely2.10961341LSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112WSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:30S. Kysely2.201199101J. Schwan1.6161111123
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