TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jaroslav Schwan
Home
1.50
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 2
Set by set
6111198111210111
Jakub Levicky
Away
2.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:15 and never touched — 57.1% is still 57.1%
Graded at full timeJaroslav Schwan to win
57.1%
57.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJaroslav Schwan above · Jakub Levicky below
Set 1 · 6-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 8-11
Set 4 · 12-10
Set 5 · 11-1
Point 90 set 5, 11-1 — our read held Jaroslav Schwan at 57.1%
90 points played in total.
H2H Jaroslav Schwan 7–2 Jakub Levicky Jakub Levicky has won 2 of their 9 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:15What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Schwan
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
7-2 in 9
Schwan
Correct
gap of 5 in 9, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Schwan 1607 vs Levicky 1582
Schwan
Correct
both rated, 25 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Schwan 20% vs Levicky 40%
Levicky
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Schwan 50% vs Levicky 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Schwan -4 · Levicky +2
Schwan
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Schwan) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Schwan form (20%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSchwan 1.50 / Levicky 2.50
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Schwan)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159028
Schwan1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 17)
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite59% won 41 of 70
Up 2–0, closes it100% 20 of 20
Up 1–0, closes it72% 26 of 36
Levicky2.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 18)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 59 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeSchwan7wins
AwayLevicky2wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSchwan leads 7–2, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSchwan100%3 of 3
AwayLevicky33.3%2 of 6
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Schwan3Levicky6n = 9Levicky took 6 of 9
S2Schwan7Levicky2n = 9Schwan took 7 of 9
S3Schwan6Levicky3n = 9Schwan took 6 of 9
S4Schwan3Levicky1n = 4Schwan took 3 of 4
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home333%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home222%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricSchwanLevickyS − LBasisWins72+5in 9 meetingsFirst set36−3of 9Avg pointsper match37.632.2+5.4per matchSweeps32+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSchwanLevickyBasisWin rate · lifetime137 / 288 vs 444 / 87947.6%50.5%137 / 288 vs 444 / 879Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.937.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SchwanSchwan 1.50/Levicky 2.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Schwan · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–2
Schwan won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
WSep 20 · 06:00J. Schwan48611812113J. Levicky42119111012
WSep 15 · 11:00J. Schwan43101111113J. Levicky28127631
LSep 6 · 16:59J. Schwan29111080J. Levicky361312113
LSep 6 · 14:30J. Schwan2611870J. Levicky351311113
WAug 17 · 20:30J. Schwan4051111133J. Levicky341193111
WMar 16 · 13:00J. Schwan331111113J. Levicky156630
WFeb 27 · 08:00J. Schwan351113113J. Levicky2661190
WFeb 22 · 08:30J. Schwan351113113J. Levicky2381140
WFeb 21 · 08:00J. Schwan49417115123J. Levicky511115411102
J. Schwan10
LSep 20 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.611111113J. Schwan2.205760LSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872LSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113LSep 17 · 15:00J. Schwan2.506460D. Unzeitig1.501111113LSep 17 · 14:00Z. Pagac1.3091311113J. Schwan3.401111511WSep 16 · 13:30J. Schwan1.65111111113S. Kysely2.10961341LSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112WSep 16 · 11:30J. Schwan1.281211113M. Heczko3.5010760WSep 16 · 10:30S. Kysely2.201199101J. Schwan1.6161111123WSep 15 · 13:30J. Schwan1.2591111113M. Heczko3.75112751
J. Levicky10
LSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113WSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640WSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 19:00D. Oborny2.001112113J. Levicky1.7331070LSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113LSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky1.91413491S. Byrtus1.80111111113WSep 18 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.8341110101J. Levicky1.8311812123LSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113WSep 18 · 06:30D. Heczko2.10112981J. Levicky1.6761111113LSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky2.201161171R. Skacelik1.6113115113
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