TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Levicky
Home
2.50
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
4–6Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
1214411811––––
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.50
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:03 and never touched — 63.5% is still 63.5%
Graded at full timeRichard Skacelik to win
63.5%
63.5%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingJakub Levicky above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 12-14
Set 2 · 4-11
Set 3 · 8-11
Point 60 set 3, 8-11 — our read held Richard Skacelik at 63.5%
60 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Levicky 1–5 Richard Skacelik Jakub Levicky has won 1 of their 6 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:03What took a side3 for · 0 against · 3 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Skacelik
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
1-5 in 6
Skacelik
Correct
gap of 4 in 6, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Levicky 1582 vs Skacelik 1636
Skacelik
Correct
both rated, 54 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Levicky 40% vs Skacelik 40%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Levicky 40% vs Skacelik 50%
—
Too close
10pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Levicky -1 · Skacelik +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
3 for, 3 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Skacelik) · live re-read · sealed at 64% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (40%) is below what odds imply (67%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsLevicky 2.50 / Skacelik 1.50
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Skacelik)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159391
Levicky2.50
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog41% won 59 of 144
Down 0–1, comes back19% 15 of 79
Down 0–2, comes back4% 2 of 47
Skacelik1.50
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 6 meetings
HomeLevicky1wins
AwaySkacelik5wins
1 of 6 to a deciderSkacelik leads 5–1, and 1 of those 6 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeLevicky33.3%1 of 3
AwaySkacelik100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 6 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Levicky3Skacelik3n = 6split evenly
S2Levicky1Skacelik5n = 6Skacelik took 5 of 6
S3Levicky2Skacelik4n = 6Skacelik took 4 of 6
S4Levicky2Skacelik3n = 5Skacelik took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 6 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 6 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home117%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away117%
1–3Four sets, away350%
0–3Straight, away117%
These 6 meetings
MetricLevickySkacelikL − SBasisWins15−4in 6 meetingsFirst set330of 6Avg pointsper match32.540.2−7.7per matchSweeps01−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricLevickySkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime444 / 879 vs 223 / 46250.5%48.3%444 / 879 vs 223 / 462Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.839.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikLevicky 2.50/Skacelik 1.50
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64.1%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record6
LSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2412480R. Skacelik361411113
LSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky4011851152R. Skacelik48711118113
LSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky351161171R. Skacelik4013115113
WSep 16 · 08:00J. Levicky3911611113R. Skacelik35811791
LSep 6 · 15:30J. Levicky30115861R. Skacelik3961111113
LApr 7 · 18:00J. Levicky27312661R. Skacelik43111011113
J. Levicky10
LSep 20 · 06:00J. Schwan1.50611812113J. Levicky2.50119111012WSep 18 · 20:59J. Levicky2.001111113D. Machander1.739640WSep 18 · 20:00D. Machander1.57791281J. Levicky2.25111110113LSep 18 · 19:00D. Oborny2.001112113J. Levicky1.7331070LSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113LSep 18 · 09:29J. Levicky1.91413491S. Byrtus1.80111111113WSep 18 · 08:30S. Byrtus1.8341110101J. Levicky1.8311812123LSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113WSep 18 · 06:30D. Heczko2.10112981J. Levicky1.6761111113LSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky2.201161171R. Skacelik1.6113115113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182LSep 18 · 08:58R. Skacelik1.7321270D. Heczko2.001114113LSep 18 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.6710114131D. Heczko2.1012611153WSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113LSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.5312711892S. Byrtus2.381011211113WSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872WSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113LSep 17 · 15:30R. Skacelik2.2511881132Z. Pagac1.57711119113LSep 17 · 14:30D. Unzeitig1.6710111111113R. Skacelik2.1012513952WSep 16 · 09:28J. Levicky2.201161171R. Skacelik1.6113115113
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