TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Radomir Vavrecka
Home
2.20
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
8–2Last 10Won last 2
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
4111151171412––
Richard Skacelik
Away
1.62
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
How it is goingRadomir Vavrecka above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 11-7
Set 4 · 14-12
Point 75 set 4, 14-12
75 points played in total.
H2H Radomir Vavrecka 3–6 Richard Skacelik Radomir Vavrecka has won 3 of their 9 meetings.
Same-day rematch · 3h before this match
Skacelik beat Vavrecka 3-2.
Same-day rematch winners hit ~50% historically — the market typically prices this in. Which is why it moves nothing in the read below: it is context, not a signal.
Signal confidence: 59% — Slight lean (leans Skacelik)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Skacelik form (40%) is below what odds imply (62%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsVavrecka 2.20 / Skacelik 1.61
Signal prob.41% / 59%
Edge (Skacelik)+1.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163679
Vavrecka2.20
80%won 8 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog40% won 39 of 97
Down 0–1, comes back22% 13 of 58
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 34
Skacelik1.61
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite58% won 61 of 106
Up 2–0, closes it94% 30 of 32
Up 1–0, closes it69% 43 of 62
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 9 meetings
HomeVavrecka3wins
AwaySkacelik6wins
2 of 9 to a deciderSkacelik leads 6–3, and 2 of those 9 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeVavreckan = 2, below the 3 needed
AwaySkacelik85.7%6 of 7
Set by set, in these 9 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Vavrecka2Skacelik7n = 9Skacelik took 7 of 9
S2Vavrecka3Skacelik6n = 9Skacelik took 6 of 9
S3Vavrecka7Skacelik2n = 9Vavrecka took 7 of 9
S4Vavrecka3Skacelik3n = 6split evenly
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 9 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 9 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home111%
3–1Four sets, home222%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away222%
1–3Four sets, away222%
0–3Straight, away222%
These 9 meetings
MetricVavreckaSkacelikV − SBasisWins36−3in 9 meetingsFirst set27−5of 9Avg pointsper match35.837.1−1.3per matchSweeps12−13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricVavreckaSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime153 / 296 vs 223 / 46351.7%48.2%153 / 296 vs 223 / 463Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.039.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SkacelikVavrecka 2.20/Skacelik 1.61
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
58.9%
Skacelik · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Vavrecka won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record9
LSep 20 · 06:30R. Vavrecka4037111182R. Skacelik45111184113
LAug 19 · 10:00R. Vavrecka32571191R. Skacelik3611113113
WAug 4 · 21:28R. Vavrecka4011711113R. Skacelik33911491
LAug 4 · 19:30R. Vavrecka29491151R. Skacelik3611113113
WApr 7 · 19:30R. Vavrecka331111113R. Skacelik279990
LMar 30 · 16:00R. Vavrecka247890R. Skacelik331111113
WMar 27 · 09:00R. Vavrecka4391111123R. Skacelik361178101
LJan 21 · 22:01R. Vavrecka50812111092R. Skacelik511110712113
LJan 21 · 21:30R. Vavrecka3199130R. Skacelik371111153
R. Vavrecka10
WSep 20 · 08:30J. Levicky1.9111311682R. Vavrecka1.80911511113WSep 20 · 07:30R. Vavrecka1.611111113J. Schwan2.205760LSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182WSep 18 · 21:30R. Vavrecka1.671111113D. Oborny2.089620WSep 18 · 20:30D. Oborny2.1010890R. Vavrecka1.671211113WSep 18 · 19:30R. Vavrecka2.101111113D. Machander1.675950WSep 18 · 18:30J. Levicky1.8391111552R. Vavrecka1.83116811113WSep 16 · 13:04R. Vavrecka1.8041511113M. Heczko1.911113661WSep 16 · 12:30R. Vavrecka1.91711611133J. Schwan1.80115119112LSep 16 · 11:00R. Vavrecka2.20881171S. Kysely1.6111118113
R. Skacelik10
WSep 20 · 10:00J. Simecek1.44911321R. Skacelik2.6311511113LSep 20 · 08:00J. Schwan1.8311811123R. Skacelik1.837118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113WSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182LSep 18 · 08:58R. Skacelik1.7321270D. Heczko2.001114113LSep 18 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.6710114131D. Heczko2.1012611153WSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113LSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.5312711892S. Byrtus2.381011211113WSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872WSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113
Upcoming Matches
R. Vavrecka
Nothing scheduled
R. Skacelik
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