TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Jakub Simecek
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 2
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911115311211––
Richard Skacelik
Away
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 22:06 and never touched — 66.0% is still 66.0%
Graded at full timeJakub Simecek to win
66.0%
66.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJakub Simecek above · Richard Skacelik below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-5
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 2-11
Point 63 set 4, 2-11 — our read held Jakub Simecek at 66.0%
63 points played in total.
H2H Jakub Simecek 12–4 Richard Skacelik Richard Skacelik has won 4 of their 16 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 22:06What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Simecek
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
12-4 in 16
Simecek
Wrong
gap of 8 in 16, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Simecek 1617 vs Skacelik 1599
Simecek
Wrong
both rated, 18 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Simecek 80% vs Skacelik 40%
Simecek
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Simecek 50% vs Skacelik 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Simecek +2 · Skacelik -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 66% — Clear lean (leans Simecek)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Simecek form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsSimecek 1.44 / Skacelik 2.63
Signal prob.66% / 34%
Edge (Simecek)+1.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13161909
Simecek1.44
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 19)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite60% won 71 of 118
Up 2–0, closes it88% 37 of 42
Up 1–0, closes it69% 47 of 68
Skacelik2.63
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog48% won 78 of 164
Down 0–1, comes back28% 24 of 86
Down 0–2, comes back10% 4 of 41
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeSimecek8wins
AwaySkacelik2wins
3 of 10 to a deciderSimecek leads 8–2, and 3 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeSimecek87.5%7 of 8
AwaySkacelikn = 2, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Simecek8Skacelik2n = 10Simecek took 8 of 10
S2Simecek8Skacelik2n = 10Simecek took 8 of 10
S3Simecek5Skacelik5n = 10split evenly
S4Simecek3Skacelik2n = 5Simecek took 3 of 5
S5Simecek2Skacelik1n = 3Simecek took 2 of 3
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home440%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away110%
These 10 meetings
MetricSimecekSkacelikSimecek − SkacelikBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set82+6of 10Avg pointsper match40.235.1+5.1per matchSweeps41+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricSimecekSkacelikBasisWin rate · lifetime146 / 274 vs 223 / 46453.3%48.1%146 / 274 vs 223 / 464Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match39.539.8per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
SimecekSimecek 1.44/Skacelik 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
66.1%
Simecek · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Skacelik won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 15 · 19:30J. Simecek44111111113R. Skacelik33471391
WAug 7 · 10:00J. Simecek331111113R. Skacelik257990
WAug 6 · 10:00J. Simecek331111113R. Skacelik248880
LAug 2 · 17:29J. Simecek6024118892R. Skacelik642291111113
WAug 2 · 16:30J. Simecek4411138123R. Skacelik3751111101
WJul 24 · 10:00J. Simecek494121012113R. Skacelik481110121052
WJul 11 · 19:00J. Simecek42136111113R. Skacelik50111181192
WJul 11 · 14:30J. Simecek331111113R. Skacelik156450
LJun 29 · 06:30J. Simecek31911110R. Skacelik371113133
WJun 28 · 12:00J. Simecek331111113R. Skacelik182970
J. Simecek10
WSep 19 · 09:30A. Walek1.90111171192J. Simecek1.80913117113WSep 19 · 08:00J. Simecek1.61141256113D. Langer2.201210111142LSep 19 · 07:30S. Byrtus2.631112133J. Simecek1.44810110WSep 19 · 06:00J. Simecek1.8011812113A. Walek1.919111071WSep 3 · 16:58D. Unzeitig1.91121181342J. Simecek1.801421111113LSep 3 · 16:30J. Simecek1.80111013101D. Unzeitig1.9191215123LSep 3 · 15:00J. Simecek2.3898110T. Kypr1.531111133LSep 3 · 14:00M. Bereiter1.7391115113J. Simecek2.001191391WAug 28 · 12:59L. Martinak1.251181110102J. Simecek3.75511912123LAug 28 · 12:00J. Hutnik1.501111113J. Simecek2.506950
R. Skacelik10
LSep 20 · 09:29R. Vavrecka2.2041111143R. Skacelik1.611157121LSep 20 · 08:00J. Schwan1.8311811123R. Skacelik1.837118101WSep 20 · 07:00J. Levicky2.5012480R. Skacelik1.501411113WSep 20 · 06:30R. Skacelik1.67111184113R. Vavrecka2.1037111182LSep 18 · 08:58R. Skacelik1.7321270D. Heczko2.001114113LSep 18 · 08:00R. Skacelik1.6710114131D. Heczko2.1012611153WSep 18 · 07:30J. Levicky2.5011851152R. Skacelik1.50711118113LSep 18 · 06:00R. Skacelik1.5312711892S. Byrtus2.381011211113WSep 17 · 17:01R. Skacelik2.00139811113J. Schwan1.73111111872WSep 17 · 16:30J. Schwan1.8310111081R. Skacelik1.8312912113
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