TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Petr Osvald vs Michal Koral 0-3 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Petr Osvald
Home
2.63
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 2
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
11131012711––––
Michal Koral
Away
1.44
At publish
Won last 8Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 8
The read, and what happenedsealed at 12:13 and never touched — 67.7% is still 67.7%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
67.7%
67.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingPetr Osvald above · Michal Koral below
Set 1 · 11-13
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 7-11
Point 64 set 3, 7-11 — our read held Michal Koral at 67.7%
64 points played in total.
H2H Petr Osvald 2–9 Michal Koral Petr Osvald has won 2 of their 11 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 12:13What took a side6 for · 0 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-9 in 11
Koral
Correct
gap of 7 in 11, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Osvald 1472 vs Koral 1584
Koral
Correct
both rated, 112 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Osvald 60% vs Koral 100%
Koral
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Osvald 60% vs Koral 90%
Koral
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Osvald -2 · Koral +8
Koral
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
6 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 71% — Strong (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 68% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (100%) outperforms what odds imply (69%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsOsvald 2.63 / Koral 1.44
Signal prob.29% / 71%
Edge (Koral)+6.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13183438
Osvald2.63
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest80%takes the first set · 8 of 10
As underdog40% won 27 of 67
Down 0–1, comes back22% 8 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back17% 3 of 18
Koral1.44
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 8
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 48 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 40 of 52
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeOsvald2wins
AwayKoral8wins
4 of 10 to a deciderKoral leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeOsvaldn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayKoral87.5%7 of 8
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Osvald2Koral8n = 10Koral took 8 of 10
S2Osvald2Koral8n = 10Koral took 8 of 10
S3Osvald4Koral6n = 10Koral took 6 of 10
S4Osvald3Koral2n = 5Osvald took 3 of 5
S5Osvald1Koral3n = 4Koral took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home110%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away550%
These 10 meetings
MetricOsvaldKoralO − KBasisWins28−6in 10 meetingsFirst set28−6of 10Avg pointsper match35.240.2−5.0per matchSweeps05−53–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricOsvaldKoralBasisWin rate · lifetime110 / 228 vs 122 / 22748.3%53.7%110 / 228 vs 122 / 227Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.437.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralOsvald 2.63/Koral 1.44
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
70.8%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 24 · 07:00P. Osvald28111070M. Koral361312113
LSep 2 · 10:30P. Osvald4121112882M. Koral521191011113
LAug 12 · 19:00P. Osvald3369180M. Koral421111203
WJun 9 · 09:04P. Osvald46761111113M. Koral4411116972
LJun 9 · 07:00P. Osvald2351260M. Koral361114113
LMay 16 · 16:00P. Osvald4112711472M. Koral481011511113
LMay 12 · 07:00P. Osvald195680M. Koral331111113
WMay 3 · 18:30P. Osvald4211911113M. Koral24411541
LApr 18 · 10:30P. Osvald28111160M. Koral371313113
LApr 13 · 21:30P. Osvald51121181192M. Koral50149115113
P. Osvald10
LSep 24 · 06:00M. Blejchar2.00911117113P. Osvald1.7311561172LSep 19 · 09:30P. Osvald1.8011511732P. Hanel1.90611611113WSep 19 · 08:30P. Hanel1.8320680P. Osvald1.832211113WSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861WSep 19 · 06:30M. Blejchar2.30811981P. Osvald1.5511911113LSep 18 · 17:30I. Taichman1.831118123P. Osvald1.83916100WSep 18 · 16:00P. Osvald1.3311118113T. Milkov3.25971161WSep 18 · 15:30R. Guliak2.2510660P. Osvald1.571211113LSep 18 · 14:00P. Osvald1.80810100I. Taichman1.911112123WSep 11 · 20:59P. Osvald1.501111133R. Adam2.5083110
M. Koral10
WSep 24 · 06:30M. Koral1.531111113T. Milota2.384690WSep 21 · 13:30M. Koral1.431111123F. Zurek2.6099100WSep 21 · 12:00M. Koral1.7311811113I. Taichman2.00711321WSep 21 · 11:30P. Varecha2.757260M. Koral1.401111113WSep 21 · 10:00M. Koral1.44611114113F. Zurek2.6311841172WSep 20 · 17:30V. Bosak1.738530M. Koral2.001111113WSep 20 · 16:00M. Koral1.671111113M. Kowolowski2.103750WSep 20 · 15:30T. Kraninger2.381110111172M. Koral1.53812913113LSep 20 · 14:00M. Koral1.737570V. Bosak2.001111113WSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470
Upcoming Matches
Event Chatroom
This room is closed. Messages clear 24 hours after they are sent.