TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.73
At publish
Won last 5Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 5
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
117811113112––
Ivo Taichman
Away
2.00
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
6–4Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:13 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeIvo Taichman to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Ivo Taichman below
Set 1 · 11-7
Set 2 · 8-11
Set 3 · 11-3
Set 4 · 11-2
Point 64 set 4, 11-2 — our read held Ivo Taichman at 54.0%
64 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 10–14 Ivo Taichman Michal Koral has won 10 of their 24 meetings.
Last 10 · 5–5Head to head
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 14:13What took a side1 for · 5 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-14 in 24
Taichman
Wrong
gap of 4 in 24, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Koral 1536 vs Taichman 1497
Koral
Correct
both rated, 40 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 100% vs Taichman 80%
Koral
Correct
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 90% vs Taichman 60%
Koral
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral +5 · Taichman -1
Koral
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 55% — Coin-flip (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Taichman form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.73 / Taichman 2.00
Signal prob.55% / 45%
Edge (Koral)+1.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164646
Koral1.73
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Won last 5
oldest → newest60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As favourite61% won 44 of 72
Up 2–0, closes it92% 24 of 26
Up 1–0, closes it76% 37 of 49
Taichman2.00
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As underdog45% won 68 of 151
Down 0–1, comes back27% 20 of 75
Down 0–2, comes back12% 5 of 42
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeKoral5wins
AwayTaichman5wins
4 of 10 to a deciderLevel at 5–5, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKoral80%4 of 5
AwayTaichman80%4 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Koral5Taichman5n = 10split evenly
S2Koral7Taichman3n = 10Koral took 7 of 10
S3Koral6Taichman4n = 10Koral took 6 of 10
S4Koral4Taichman4n = 8split evenly
S5Koral1Taichman3n = 4Taichman took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home110%
2–3Decider, away330%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricKoralTaichmanK − TBasisWins550in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match40.941.3−0.4per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralTaichmanBasisWin rate · lifetime118 / 223 vs 267 / 51652.9%51.7%118 / 223 vs 267 / 516Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.038.5per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKoral 1.73/Taichman 2.00
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54.7%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 17:00M. Koral4851511982I. Taichman541113811113
LSep 8 · 14:30M. Koral371168121I. Taichman4591111143
LAug 31 · 11:30M. Koral4055111182I. Taichman48111178113
WAug 27 · 20:58M. Koral4412119123I. Taichman4010911101
LAug 27 · 19:30M. Koral30711751I. Taichman3911611113
WJul 22 · 14:30M. Koral341211113I. Taichman2410950
WJul 7 · 13:30M. Koral341111123I. Taichman2266100
WJul 7 · 11:00M. Koral521261011133I. Taichman521011128112
LJun 9 · 06:30M. Koral4461111882I. Taichman50118911113
WMay 28 · 13:00M. Koral46111113113I. Taichman391371181
M. Koral10
WSep 21 · 11:30P. Varecha2.757260M. Koral1.401111113WSep 21 · 10:00M. Koral1.44611114113F. Zurek2.6311841172WSep 20 · 17:30V. Bosak1.738530M. Koral2.001111113WSep 20 · 16:00M. Koral1.671111113M. Kowolowski2.103750WSep 20 · 15:30T. Kraninger2.381110111172M. Koral1.53812913113LSep 20 · 14:00M. Koral1.737570V. Bosak2.001111113WSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470WSep 17 · 12:00E. Sionkala2.1071181142M. Koral1.67118117113WSep 17 · 11:00F. Zurek2.206980M. Koral1.611111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152
I. Taichman10
LSep 21 · 11:00F. Zurek1.831111113I. Taichman1.836940WSep 18 · 17:30I. Taichman1.831118123P. Osvald1.83916100WSep 18 · 16:30I. Taichman1.611011117113R. Guliak2.2012881182WSep 18 · 15:00I. Taichman1.831111113T. Milkov1.837950WSep 18 · 14:00P. Osvald1.80810100I. Taichman1.911112123LSep 16 · 08:59I. Taichman2.1011914922F. Zurek1.675111211113LSep 16 · 08:30I. Taichman1.83111090F. Zurek1.831312113WSep 16 · 07:00I. Taichman1.801111123E. Gebek1.9158100LSep 16 · 06:00R. Adam1.6781111123I. Taichman2.101168101WSep 14 · 13:00J. Stach2.204280I. Taichman1.611111113
Upcoming Matches
M. Koral
I. Taichman
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