TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Kraninger
Home
2.38
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
11810121191113711
Michal Koral
Away
1.53
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 14:49 and never touched — 56.9% is still 56.9%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
56.9%
56.9%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Kraninger above · Michal Koral below
Set 1 · 11-8
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-13
Set 5 · 7-11
Point 103 set 5, 7-11 — our read held Michal Koral at 56.9%
103 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Kraninger 3–4 Michal Koral Tomas Kraninger has won 3 of their 7 meetings.
The pickConfirm
Sealed 14:49What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-4 in 7
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Kraninger 1327 vs Koral 1483
Koral
Correct
both rated, 156 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Kraninger 20% vs Koral 80%
Koral
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Kraninger 20% vs Koral 70%
Koral
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Kraninger -1 · Koral -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and the gate let it through as Confirm.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 57% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Koral form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (65%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKraninger 2.38 / Koral 1.53
Signal prob.36% / 64%
Edge (Koral)+3.2pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13160012
Kraninger2.38
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
As underdog37% won 24 of 65
Down 0–1, comes back17% 6 of 35
Down 0–2, comes back10% 2 of 21
Koral1.53
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite61% won 42 of 69
Up 2–0, closes it92% 23 of 25
Up 1–0, closes it75% 36 of 48
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 7 meetings
HomeKraninger3wins
AwayKoral4wins
2 of 7 to a deciderKoral leads 4–3, and 2 of those 7 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeKraninger75%3 of 4
AwayKoral100%3 of 3
Set by set, in these 7 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Kraninger4Koral3n = 7Kraninger took 4 of 7
S2Kraninger4Koral3n = 7Kraninger took 4 of 7
S3Kraninger3Koral4n = 7Koral took 4 of 7
S4Kraninger3Koral2n = 5Kraninger took 3 of 5
S5
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 7 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 7 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home114%
3–1Four sets, home229%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away229%
1–3Four sets, away114%
0–3Straight, away114%
These 7 meetings
MetricKraningerKoralKraninger − KoralBasisWins34−1in 7 meetingsFirst set43+1of 7Avg pointsper match38.438.3+0.1per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKraningerKoralBasisWin rate · lifetime114 / 238 vs 113 / 21847.9%51.8%114 / 238 vs 113 / 218Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match37.237.9per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKraninger 2.38/Koral 1.53
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
64%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record7
LAug 11 · 20:30T. Kraninger501011711112M. Koral50128116133
LMar 17 · 20:00T. Kraninger175660M. Koral331111113
WFeb 7 · 14:30T. Kraninger361114113M. Koral2891270
WFeb 7 · 13:30T. Kraninger4414811113M. Koral371211591
LJan 24 · 13:56T. Kraninger391111891M. Koral4213711113
WJan 24 · 12:30T. Kraninger4311615113M. Koral346111341
LJan 16 · 20:30T. Kraninger40111144102M. Koral44371111123
T. Kraninger10
LSep 20 · 14:30M. Kowolowski1.9161111113T. Kraninger1.80118951WSep 18 · 20:58M. Kolek2.004780T. Kraninger1.731111113LSep 18 · 20:30T. Kraninger1.57511751M. Kolek2.2511411113LSep 18 · 19:00T. Kraninger3.2511137752V. Bosak1.337111111113LSep 18 · 18:00R. Guliak1.541112113T. Kraninger2.2581030LSep 13 · 09:00E. Gebek1.4571111113T. Kraninger2.55118641WSep 13 · 08:30T. Kraninger1.5741112113M. Jasek2.251161061LSep 13 · 07:00T. Kraninger2.00111141182I. Taichman1.73991113113LSep 13 · 06:00E. Gebek1.441111113T. Kraninger2.635960LSep 5 · 21:28I. Taichman1.73911119113T. Kraninger2.0011451182
M. Koral10
WSep 20 · 16:00M. Koral1.671111113M. Kowolowski2.103750LSep 20 · 14:00M. Koral1.737570V. Bosak2.001111113WSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470WSep 17 · 12:00E. Sionkala2.1071181142M. Koral1.67118117113WSep 17 · 11:00F. Zurek2.206980M. Koral1.611111113WSep 17 · 10:30M. Koral1.401311119113M. Kolek2.7515451152LSep 17 · 09:28M. Koral1.50149119112F. Zurek2.501211511133WSep 17 · 08:00M. Koral1.6111116113F. Zurek2.20971141WSep 17 · 07:30M. Kolek2.506860M. Koral1.501111113WSep 17 · 06:00M. Koral1.671111113P. Varecha2.109390
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M. Koral
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