TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Michal Koral vs Tomas Milota 3-0 · Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 24Finished
Michal Koral
Home
1.53
At publish
Won last 7Form at publish
9–1Last 10Won last 7
Final
3 – 0
Set by set
114116119––––
Tomas Milota
Away
2.38
At publish
Lost last 3Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 3
The read, and what happenedsealed at 09:31 and never touched — 74.4% is still 74.4%
Graded at full timeMichal Koral to win
74.4%
74.4%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingMichal Koral above · Tomas Milota below
Set 1 · 11-4
Set 2 · 11-6
Set 3 · 11-9
Point 52 set 3, 11-9 — our read held Michal Koral at 74.4%
52 points played in total.
H2H Michal Koral 2–0 Tomas Milota Tomas Milota has won 0 of their 2 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 09:31What took a side4 for · 0 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.53 (61%)
Koral
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-0 in 2
—
Too close
2 played, under the floor of 3
Rating (G2)
Koral 1584 vs Milota 1411
Koral
Correct
both rated, 173 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Koral 100% vs Milota 20%
Koral
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Koral 90% vs Milota 10%
Koral
Correct
80pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Koral +7 · Milota -3
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 64% — Clear lean (leans Koral) · live re-read · sealed at 74% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milota form (20%) is below what odds imply (42%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsKoral 1.53 / Milota 2.38
Signal prob.64% / 36%
Edge (Koral)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13182719
Koral1.53
90%won 9 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 3 days ago (Sep 21)
Won last 7
oldest → newest70%takes the first set · 7 of 10
As favourite63% won 48 of 76
Up 2–0, closes it93% 26 of 28
Up 1–0, closes it77% 40 of 52
Milota2.38
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 21)
Lost last 3
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog37% won 27 of 74
Down 0–1, comes back13% 5 of 38
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 2 meetings
HomeKoral2wins
AwayMilota0wins
Koral leads 2–0.
First set to match win · in this matchup
Not enough first sets
Neither side has won the first set three times here, so there is no rate to publish.
Set by set, in these 2 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S2
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S3
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S4
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 2 finishedn = 2, below the 3 needed
3–0Straight, home1
3–1Four sets, home1
3–2Decider, home0
2–3Decider, away0
1–3Four sets, away0
0–3Straight, away0
These 2 meetings
MetricKoralMilotaK − MBasisWins20+2in 2 meetingsFirst set20+2of 2Avg pointsper match37.027.0+10.0per matchSweeps10+13–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricKoralMilotaBasisWin rate · lifetime122 / 227 vs 123 / 27953.7%44.1%122 / 227 vs 123 / 279Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match37.938.3per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
KoralKoral 1.53/Milota 2.38
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
63.6%
Koral · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–0
Koral won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record2
WSep 24 · 06:30M. Koral331111113T. Milota194690
WApr 22 · 18:00M. Koral4112711113T. Milota351011861
M. Koral10
WSep 24 · 07:00P. Osvald2.63111070M. Koral1.441312113WSep 21 · 13:30M. Koral1.431111123F. Zurek2.6099100WSep 21 · 12:00M. Koral1.7311811113I. Taichman2.00711321WSep 21 · 11:30P. Varecha2.757260M. Koral1.401111113WSep 21 · 10:00M. Koral1.44611114113F. Zurek2.6311841172WSep 20 · 17:30V. Bosak1.738530M. Koral2.001111113WSep 20 · 16:00M. Koral1.671111113M. Kowolowski2.103750WSep 20 · 15:30T. Kraninger2.381110111172M. Koral1.53812913113LSep 20 · 14:00M. Koral1.737570V. Bosak2.001111113WSep 17 · 13:30M. Koral1.351111113M. Kolek2.906470
T. Milota10
LSep 24 · 07:30T. Milota1.57117571M. Blejchar2.2591111113LSep 21 · 21:00J. Hrabec1.5311811113T. Milota2.38311671LSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113LSep 21 · 19:00T. Milota1.44911371M. Blejchar2.6311911113WSep 21 · 18:00J. Hrabec1.50811111482T. Milota2.501113412113LSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171LSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.401111113T. Milota2.753950LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142
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