TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Milota
Home
1.73
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 1
Final
0 – 3
Set by set
511611411––––
Radim Adam
Away
2.00
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Won last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 58.7% is still 58.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
58.7%
58.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Radim Adam below
Set 1 · 5-11
Set 2 · 6-11
Set 3 · 4-11
Point 48 set 3, 4-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 58.7%
48 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 10–5 Radim Adam Radim Adam has won 5 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side2 for · 2 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.73 (54%)
Milota
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
10-5 in 15
Milota
Wrong
gap of 5 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milota 1454 vs Adam 1502
Adam
Correct
both rated, 48 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 20% vs Adam 20%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 10% vs Adam 50%
Adam
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota -1 · Adam +1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Milota) · live re-read · sealed at 41% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Adam form (20%) is below what odds imply (50%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 1.73 / Adam 2.00
Signal prob.54% / 46%
Edge (Adam)-0.3pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163782
Milota1.73
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 24 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it61% 17 of 28
Adam2.00
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back31% 13 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMilota7wins
AwayAdam3wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMilota leads 7–3, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilota100%5 of 5
AwayAdam60%3 of 5
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milota5Adam5n = 10split evenly
S2Milota6Adam4n = 10Milota took 6 of 10
S3Milota6Adam4n = 10Milota took 6 of 10
S4Milota5Adam3n = 8Milota took 5 of 8
S5Milota3Adam1n = 4Milota took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away220%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMilotaAdamM − ABasisWins73+4in 10 meetingsFirst set550of 10Avg pointsper match41.835.8+6.0per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaAdamBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 279 vs 198 / 38544.8%51.4%125 / 279 vs 198 / 385Avg sets wonper match2.02.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.538.7per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilotaMilota 1.73/Adam 2.00
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
54%
Milota · sealed before the serve
What happened
0–3
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
LSep 8 · 20:58T. Milota33691171R. Adam3911116113
LSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota36791191R. Adam3811115113
WAug 20 · 07:00T. Milota351111133R. Adam2586110
WJun 19 · 15:00T. Milota46911113123R. Adam46118611102
WJun 11 · 21:30T. Milota531191111113R. Adam4121113782
WJun 11 · 18:00T. Milota49711911113R. Adam3511111572
WApr 16 · 21:00T. Milota4813148133R. Adam45111211111
LApr 16 · 20:30T. Milota4381151182R. Adam43112118113
WApr 10 · 19:00T. Milota331111113R. Adam146440
WOct 27 · 21:53T. Milota4211911113R. Adam32711951
T. Milota10
LSep 21 · 21:00J. Hrabec1.5311811113T. Milota2.38311671LSep 21 · 19:00T. Milota1.44911371M. Blejchar2.6311911113WSep 21 · 18:00J. Hrabec1.50811111482T. Milota2.501113412113LSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171LSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.401111113T. Milota2.753950LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113
R. Adam10
WSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971LSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452LSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281LSep 20 · 12:30R. Adam1.5741141182T. Milkov2.25117116113LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102LSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113WSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171WSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113
Upcoming Matches
T. Milota
Nothing scheduled
R. Adam
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