TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Radim Adam
Home
1.57
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
411117411116811
Tomas Milkov
Away
2.25
At publish
Lost last 2Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 2
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:07 and never touched — 59.7% is still 59.7%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
59.7%
59.7%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Tomas Milkov below
Set 1 · 4-11
Set 2 · 11-7
Set 3 · 4-11
Set 4 · 11-6
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 84 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Radim Adam at 59.7%
84 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 9–6 Tomas Milkov Tomas Milkov has won 6 of their 15 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:07What took a side5 for · 0 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.57 (59%)
Adam
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
9-6 in 15
Adam
Wrong
gap of 3 in 15, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1530 vs Milkov 1426
Adam
Wrong
both rated, 105 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 60% vs Milkov 20%
Adam
Wrong
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 50% vs Milkov 20%
Adam
Wrong
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam -1 · Milkov -2
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 63% — Clear lean (leans Adam) · live re-read · sealed at 60% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (44%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 1.57 / Milkov 2.25
Signal prob.63% / 38%
Edge (Adam)+3.6pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159422
Adam1.57
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
40%takes the first set · 4 of 10
As favourite62% won 57 of 92
Up 2–0, closes it91% 32 of 35
Up 1–0, closes it82% 41 of 50
Milkov2.25
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 2
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog36% won 18 of 50
Down 0–1, comes back17% 5 of 29
Down 0–2, comes back11% 2 of 18
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeAdam8wins
AwayMilkov2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderAdam leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdam100%7 of 7
AwayMilkov66.7%2 of 3
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam7Milkov3n = 10Adam took 7 of 10
S2Adam6Milkov4n = 10Adam took 6 of 10
S3Adam7Milkov3n = 10Adam took 7 of 10
S4Adam6Milkov2n = 8Adam took 6 of 8
S5Adam2Milkov2n = 4split evenly
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home220%
3–1Four sets, home440%
3–2Decider, home220%
2–3Decider, away220%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricAdamMilkovA − MBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set73+4of 10Avg pointsper match41.436.2+5.2per matchSweeps20+23–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamMilkovBasisWin rate · lifetime197 / 381 vs 86 / 17651.7%48.9%197 / 381 vs 86 / 176Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
AdamAdam 1.57/Milkov 2.25
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
62.5%
Adam · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Milkov won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WAug 27 · 21:30R. Adam4111118113T. Milkov31661181
WAug 27 · 19:00R. Adam4411129123T. Milkov3871011101
WAug 13 · 21:30R. Adam44117114113T. Milkov4151171172
WAug 13 · 18:00R. Adam3961111113T. Milkov32119571
WAug 9 · 16:30R. Adam331111113T. Milkov259880
WMar 11 · 07:30R. Adam4111811113T. Milkov27611551
LMar 8 · 13:30R. Adam531111111372T. Milkov541313611113
LFeb 25 · 15:30R. Adam4061141182T. Milkov48117118113
WFeb 20 · 22:30R. Adam45114118113T. Milkov4061141182
WFeb 20 · 21:00R. Adam341112113T. Milkov2691070
R. Adam10
LSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102LSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113WSep 16 · 07:30F. Zurek2.7551270R. Adam1.401114113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Adam1.6781111123I. Taichman2.101168101WSep 13 · 13:07F. Zurek7.504560R. Adam1.071111113LSep 13 · 12:30R. Adam1.449850F. Zurek2.631111113LSep 13 · 11:00R. Adam2.0077100M. Blejchar1.731111123
T. Milkov10
LSep 20 · 13:02T. Milkov1.91143871P. Hanel1.80121111103LSep 20 · 11:30T. Milkov1.831210128112P. Hanel1.8310121011133LSep 20 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.83111011123T. Milkov1.836128101WSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113LSep 18 · 16:00P. Osvald1.3311118113T. Milkov3.25971161LSep 18 · 15:00I. Taichman1.831111113T. Milkov1.837950LSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731
Upcoming Matches
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T. Milkov
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