TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 20Finished
Tomas Milkov
Home
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
2–8Last 10Lost last 1
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
1210101212108111113
Patrik Hanel
Away
1.83
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
7–3Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 13:08 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timePatrik Hanel to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingTomas Milkov above · Patrik Hanel below
Set 1 · 12-10
Set 2 · 10-12
Set 3 · 12-10
Set 4 · 8-11
Set 5 · 11-13
Point 109 set 5, 11-13 — our read held Patrik Hanel at 54.0%
109 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milkov 3–1 Patrik Hanel Patrik Hanel has won 1 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 13:08What took a side4 for · 1 against · 1 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.83 (50%)
Hanel
Correct
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
3-1 in 4
Milkov
Wrong
gap of 2 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milkov 1434 vs Hanel 1509
Hanel
Correct
both rated, 75 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milkov 20% vs Hanel 60%
Hanel
Correct
40pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milkov 20% vs Hanel 70%
Hanel
Correct
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milkov -1 · Hanel -1
—
Too close
neither holds a run of 3 on their own
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
4 for, 1 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 54% — Coin-flip (leans Hanel)
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milkov form (20%) is below what odds imply (55%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilkov 1.83 / Hanel 1.83
Signal prob.46% / 54%
Edge (Hanel)+4.0pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13159407
Milkov1.83
20%won 2 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
Hanel1.83
70%won 7 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
60%takes the first set · 6 of 10
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeMilkov3wins
AwayHanel1wins
1 of 4 to a deciderMilkov leads 3–1, and 1 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilkov100%3 of 3
AwayHaneln = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milkov3Hanel1n = 4Milkov took 3 of 4
S2Milkov3Hanel1n = 4Milkov took 3 of 4
S3Milkov1Hanel3n = 4Hanel took 3 of 4
S4
Only 2 matches reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home125%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home125%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away125%
These 4 meetings
MetricMilkovHanelM − HBasisWins31+2in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match40.535.2+5.3per matchSweeps1103–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilkovHanelBasisWin rate · lifetime86 / 175 vs 59 / 11749.1%50.4%86 / 175 vs 59 / 117Avg sets wonper match2.02.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.337.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HanelMilkov 1.83/Hanel 1.83
Read onlywould have hit
What we said
54%
Hanel · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Hanel won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
LAug 18 · 21:30T. Milkov268990P. Hanel331111113
WAug 18 · 20:30T. Milkov401511143P. Hanel31136120
WAug 13 · 19:00T. Milkov4211119113P. Hanel28481151
WJul 16 · 19:00T. Milkov541111711143P. Hanel49941113122
T. Milkov10
LSep 20 · 13:02T. Milkov1.91143871P. Hanel1.80121111103WSep 20 · 12:30R. Adam1.5741141182T. Milkov2.25117116113LSep 20 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.83111011123T. Milkov1.836128101WSep 18 · 17:00R. Guliak1.83571191T. Milkov1.8311119113LSep 18 · 16:00P. Osvald1.3311118113T. Milkov3.25971161LSep 18 · 15:00I. Taichman1.831111113T. Milkov1.837950LSep 18 · 14:30T. Milkov1.678880R. Guliak2.101111113LAug 31 · 13:00T. Milkov1.7381191172M. Koral2.00118115113WAug 31 · 12:00M. Koral1.9111811772T. Milkov1.80711911113LAug 31 · 11:00V. Bosak2.0071111113T. Milkov1.73115731
P. Hanel10
WSep 20 · 13:02T. Milkov1.91143871P. Hanel1.80121111103LSep 20 · 12:00P. Hanel1.7351191162M. Blejchar2.00119114113LSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 19 · 09:30P. Osvald1.8011511732P. Hanel1.90611611113LSep 19 · 08:30P. Hanel1.8320680P. Osvald1.832211113WSep 19 · 07:00P. Hanel1.80111188113M. Blejchar1.9157111172WSep 19 · 06:00J. Hrabec2.2567111162P. Hanel1.57111148113WSep 8 · 17:30M. Blejchar1.613930P. Hanel2.201111113WSep 8 · 16:00P. Hanel1.83821211133M. Koral1.831111109112WSep 8 · 15:30I. Taichman1.5711116592P. Hanel2.25561111113
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