TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Tomas Milota
Home
1.44
At publish
Won last 1Form at publish
1–9Last 10Won last 1
Final
1 – 3
Set by set
911119311711––
Marek Blejchar
Away
2.63
At publish
Won last 4Form at publish
4–6Last 10Won last 4
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:33 and never touched — 56.1% is still 56.1%
Graded at full timeTomas Milota to win
56.1%
56.1%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingTomas Milota above · Marek Blejchar below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 11-9
Set 3 · 3-11
Set 4 · 7-11
Point 72 set 4, 7-11 — our read held Tomas Milota at 56.1%
72 points played in total.
H2H Tomas Milota 20–8 Marek Blejchar Marek Blejchar has won 8 of their 28 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:33What took a side2 for · 4 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.44 (65%)
Milota
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
20-8 in 28
Milota
Wrong
gap of 12 in 28, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Milota 1463 vs Blejchar 1554
Blejchar
Correct
both rated, 91 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Milota 20% vs Blejchar 80%
Blejchar
Correct
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Milota 10% vs Blejchar 40%
Blejchar
Correct
30pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Milota +1 · Blejchar +4
Blejchar
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
2 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 62% — Slight lean (leans Milota) · live re-read · sealed at 56% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Blejchar form (80%) outperforms what odds imply (38%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsMilota 1.44 / Blejchar 2.63
Signal prob.62% / 38%
Edge (Blejchar)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163903
Milota1.44
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As favourite49% won 24 of 49
Up 2–0, closes it71% 12 of 17
Up 1–0, closes it61% 17 of 28
Blejchar2.63
40%won 4 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 1 day ago (Sep 20)
Won last 4
oldest → newest30%takes the first set · 3 of 10
As underdog37% won 56 of 150
Down 0–1, comes back14% 12 of 87
Down 0–2, comes back2% 1 of 49
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 10 meetings
HomeMilota8wins
AwayBlejchar2wins
4 of 10 to a deciderMilota leads 8–2, and 4 of those 10 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeMilota83.3%5 of 6
AwayBlejchar25%1 of 4
Set by set, in these 10 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Milota6Blejchar4n = 10Milota took 6 of 10
S2Milota4Blejchar6n = 10Blejchar took 6 of 10
S3Milota9Blejchar1n = 10Milota took 9 of 10
S4Milota5Blejchar2n = 7Milota took 5 of 7
S5Milota3Blejchar1n = 4Milota took 3 of 4
How those 10 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 10 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home330%
3–1Four sets, home220%
3–2Decider, home330%
2–3Decider, away110%
1–3Four sets, away110%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 10 meetings
MetricMilotaBlejcharM − BBasisWins82+6in 10 meetingsFirst set64+2of 10Avg pointsper match40.935.5+5.4per matchSweeps30+33–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricMilotaBlejcharBasisWin rate · lifetime125 / 278 vs 317 / 65145%48.7%125 / 278 vs 317 / 651Avg sets wonper match2.01.9per matchAvg pointsper match38.537.0per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
MilotaMilota 1.44/Blejchar 2.63
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
61.7%
Milota · sealed before the serve
What happened
1–3
Blejchar won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record10
WJun 19 · 17:29T. Milota44116115113M. Blejchar4281141182
LJun 19 · 14:00T. Milota43310111272M. Blejchar481112410113
WApr 22 · 20:58T. Milota351111133M. Blejchar2898110
WApr 22 · 19:30T. Milota4211911113M. Blejchar24311641
WApr 13 · 09:00T. Milota361111143M. Blejchar2228120
WApr 13 · 06:00T. Milota341111123M. Blejchar1826100
WApr 10 · 20:00T. Milota526101411113M. Blejchar50111212872
WMar 9 · 10:00T. Milota4181111113M. Blejchar29116841
LMar 9 · 08:30T. Milota35148671M. Blejchar45121111113
WNov 28 · 08:30T. Milota47931311113M. Blejchar49111111792
T. Milota10
LSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113WSep 21 · 18:00J. Hrabec1.50811111482T. Milota2.501113412113LSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171LSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.401111113T. Milota2.753950LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101
M. Blejchar10
LSep 21 · 20:00J. Hrabec1.4071111113M. Blejchar2.75119581WSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452WSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281WSep 20 · 12:00P. Hanel1.7351191162M. Blejchar2.00119114113WSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:30M. Blejchar1.83111011123T. Milkov1.836128101LSep 19 · 08:59J. Hrabec1.40111011113M. Blejchar2.75812591LSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 07:00P. Hanel1.80111188113M. Blejchar1.9157111172LSep 19 · 06:30M. Blejchar2.30811981P. Osvald1.5511911113
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