TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Jan Hrabec
Home
1.50
At publish
Won last 2Form at publish
6–4Last 10Won last 2
Final
2 – 3
Set by set
81111131141412811
Tomas Milota
Away
2.50
At publish
Lost last 9Form at publish
1–9Last 10Lost last 9
The read, and what happenedsealed at 11:53 and never touched — 75.2% is still 75.2%
Graded at full timeJan Hrabec to win
75.2%
75.2%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Wrongnot sent
How it is goingJan Hrabec above · Tomas Milota below
Set 1 · 8-11
Set 2 · 11-13
Set 3 · 11-4
Set 4 · 14-12
Set 5 · 8-11
Point 103 set 5, 8-11 — our read held Jan Hrabec at 75.2%
103 points played in total.
H2H Jan Hrabec 4–0 Tomas Milota Tomas Milota has won 0 of their 4 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 11:53What took a side5 for · 1 against · 0 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.50 (63%)
Hrabec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
4-0 in 4
Hrabec
Wrong
gap of 4 in 4, over the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Hrabec 1572 vs Milota 1449
Hrabec
Wrong
both rated, 124 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Hrabec 60% vs Milota 0%
Hrabec
Wrong
60pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Hrabec 60% vs Milota 10%
Hrabec
Wrong
50pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Streak
Hrabec +2 · Milota -9
Milota
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
5 for, 0 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 65% — Clear lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 75% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Milota form (0%) is below what odds imply (40%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsHrabec 1.50 / Milota 2.50
Signal prob.65% / 35%
Edge (Hrabec)+2.8pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13164163
Hrabec1.50
60%won 6 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 2 days ago (Sep 19)
Won last 2
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 57 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Milota2.50
10%won 1 of 10 · last 10
Last match: 13 days ago (Sep 08) · back after a break
Lost last 9
oldest → newest20%takes the first set · 2 of 10
As underdog36% won 26 of 72
Down 0–1, comes back14% 5 of 37
Down 0–2, comes back0% 0 of 23
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 4 meetings
HomeHrabec4wins
AwayMilota0wins
3 of 4 to a deciderHrabec leads 4–0, and 3 of those 4 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeHrabec100%3 of 3
AwayMilotan = 1, below the 3 needed
Set by set, in these 4 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Hrabec3Milota1n = 4Hrabec took 3 of 4
S2Hrabec3Milota1n = 4Hrabec took 3 of 4
S3Hrabec2Milota2n = 4split evenly
S4Hrabec1Milota3n = 4Milota took 3 of 4
S5Hrabec3Milota0n = 3Hrabec took 3 of 3
How those 4 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 4 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home125%
3–2Decider, home375%
2–3Decider, away00%
1–3Four sets, away00%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 4 meetings
MetricHrabecMilotaH − MBasisWins40+4in 4 meetingsFirst set31+2of 4Avg pointsper match44.538.5+6.0per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricHrabecMilotaBasisWin rate · lifetime133 / 239 vs 128 / 28455.7%45.1%133 / 239 vs 128 / 284Avg sets wonper match2.12.0per matchAvg pointsper match38.238.4per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecHrabec 1.50/Milota 2.50
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
65.3%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
2–3
Milota won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record4
WSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec45511117113T. Milota3811931142
WSep 4 · 20:30J. Hrabec4011117113T. Milota28571151
WAug 27 · 21:30J. Hrabec49117119113T. Milota3731191132
WAug 27 · 19:00J. Hrabec44111372113T. Milota51911111192
J. Hrabec10
LSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam2.1091311113J. Hrabec1.671111971WSep 19 · 08:59J. Hrabec1.40111011113M. Blejchar2.75812591WSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861LSep 19 · 06:00J. Hrabec2.2567111162P. Hanel1.57111148113WSep 13 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.951611751J. Hrabec1.7518411113WSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162LSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162WSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122LSep 5 · 17:32J. Hrabec1.55861141R. Guliak2.2511112113
T. Milota10
LSep 21 · 19:00T. Milota1.44911371M. Blejchar2.6311911113LSep 8 · 20:58R. Adam2.0011116113T. Milota1.73691171LSep 8 · 20:30T. Milota1.57791191R. Adam2.2511115113LSep 8 · 19:00T. Milota2.38651161L. Velicka1.5311116113LSep 8 · 18:00R. Vavrecka1.401111113T. Milota2.753950LSep 4 · 20:58J. Hrabec1.57511117113T. Milota2.2511931142LSep 4 · 20:30T. Milota2.10571151J. Hrabec1.6711117113LSep 4 · 19:00T. Milota2.25871191L. Velicka1.5711119113LSep 4 · 18:00J. Levicky1.61111110123T. Milota2.207912101LSep 2 · 21:30L. Velicka1.60111011113T. Milota2.20812981
Upcoming Matches
J. Hrabec
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T. Milota
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