TT Lossbeater/Czech Liga Pro
Czech Liga Pro
Played Sep 21Finished
Radim Adam
Home
2.10
At publish
Lost last 4Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 4
Final
3 – 1
Set by set
9111311119117––
Jan Hrabec
Away
1.67
At publish
Lost last 1Form at publish
5–5Last 10Lost last 1
The read, and what happenedsealed at 10:03 and never touched — 54.0% is still 54.0%
Graded at full timeRadim Adam to win
54.0%
54.0%
Sealed before the first serve and never touched. The record is only checkable because of that.
Read
Rightnot sent
«Right» is not «we won». No pick was shipped, so this is a read that turned out correct — not a call that won.
How it is goingRadim Adam above · Jan Hrabec below
Set 1 · 9-11
Set 2 · 13-11
Set 3 · 11-9
Set 4 · 11-7
Point 82 set 4, 11-7 — our read held Radim Adam at 54.0%
82 points played in total.
H2H Radim Adam 2–3 Jan Hrabec Radim Adam has won 2 of their 5 meetings.
The pickNothing sent
Sealed 10:03What took a side1 for · 3 against · 2 silent
SignalWhat it readSideVerdictWhy it voted that way
Market
1.67 (56%)
Hrabec
Wrong
no bar to clear — a priced side always votes
H2H
2-3 in 5
—
Too close
gap of 1, under the gap of 2
Rating (G2)
Adam 1502 vs Hrabec 1545
Hrabec
Wrong
both rated, 43 points apart — no bar to clear
Form (L5)
Adam 20% vs Hrabec 40%
Hrabec
Wrong
20pp gap, over the 15pp bar
Form (L10)
Adam 50% vs Hrabec 50%
—
Too close
0pp gap, under the 15pp bar
Streak
Adam -4 · Hrabec -1
Adam
Correct
one crossed 3 in a row, the other did not
Not whether we were right, but which read failed. One match proves nothing — the calibration is the aggregate of rows like these, and that aggregate does not exist yet.
This table lists the interface catalogue — the one you already see in ALIGN / CONFLICT. The engine weighs its own subset, and they are not the same set. It says so here instead of hiding it.
1 for, 2 silent — and still no pick. The gate cuts it all the same.
Signal confidence: 56% — Slight lean (leans Hrabec) · live re-read · sealed at 46% before the first serve
Decision Summary
Why this prediction
- Hrabec form (40%) is below what odds imply (60%)
Market vs Signals
Market oddsAdam 2.10 / Hrabec 1.67
Signal prob.44% / 56%
Edge (Hrabec)+0.4pp
Czech Liga Pro · #13163783
Adam2.10
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
Lost last 4
oldest → newest50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As underdog47% won 35 of 75
Down 0–1, comes back31% 13 of 42
Down 0–2, comes back5% 1 of 21
Hrabec1.67
50%won 5 of 10 · last 10
Last match: today
oldest → newest
50%takes the first set · 5 of 10
As favourite65% won 57 of 88
Up 2–0, closes it96% 22 of 23
Up 1–0, closes it85% 34 of 40
Head to head
H2H window
The recordacross 5 meetings
HomeAdam2wins
AwayHrabec3wins
1 of 5 to a deciderHrabec leads 3–2, and 1 of those 5 went to a fifth set.
First set to match win · in this matchup
HomeAdamn = 2, below the 3 needed
AwayHrabec33.3%1 of 3
Set by set, in these 5 meetingsevery set carries its own n — a fifth set only exists when the match reaches one
S1Adam2Hrabec3n = 5Hrabec took 3 of 5
S2Adam3Hrabec2n = 5Adam took 3 of 5
S3Adam2Hrabec3n = 5Hrabec took 3 of 5
S4Adam3Hrabec2n = 5Adam took 3 of 5
S5
Only 1 match reached it — below the 3 needed to publish a rate
How those 5 finishedcounts, and the six add up to 5 — a scoreline is a name, not a code
3–0Straight, home00%
3–1Four sets, home240%
3–2Decider, home00%
2–3Decider, away120%
1–3Four sets, away240%
0–3Straight, away00%
These 5 meetings
MetricAdamHrabecA − HBasisWins23−1in 5 meetingsFirst set23−1of 5Avg pointsper match44.242.4+1.8per matchSweeps0003–0 or 0–3
Career, not this matchup
MetricAdamHrabecBasisWin rate · lifetime198 / 385 vs 133 / 24151.4%55.2%198 / 385 vs 133 / 241Avg sets wonper match2.12.1per matchAvg pointsper match38.738.2per match
Deep Dive by Market
Each market builds on the overview aboveForecast
History
Forecastthe model predicts this marketHistorythis is what the H2H did — no prediction
Match Winner
HrabecAdam 2.10/Hrabec 1.67
Read onlywould have missed
What we said
56.2%
Hrabec · sealed before the serve
What happened
3–1
Adam won
Recent Results
H2H · no odds on record5
WSep 21 · 19:30R. Adam4491311113J. Hrabec381111971
LSep 13 · 10:00R. Adam49911611122J. Hrabec46116114143
LJul 25 · 18:00R. Adam4211811121J. Hrabec4461113143
WMar 25 · 22:00R. Adam50121116113J. Hrabec381461441
LMar 25 · 19:00R. Adam361212481J. Hrabec46101411113
R. Adam10
WSep 21 · 20:30T. Milota1.735640R. Adam2.001111113LSep 21 · 18:30M. Blejchar1.611181011113R. Adam2.2081112452LSep 20 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.6091114113R. Adam2.201171281LSep 20 · 12:30R. Adam1.5741141182T. Milkov2.25117116113LSep 20 · 11:00R. Adam2.106101131M. Blejchar1.6711126113WSep 20 · 10:00P. Hanel2.50135981R. Adam1.50111111113WSep 16 · 09:30R. Adam1.85111199123E. Gebek1.85891111102LSep 16 · 08:00R. Adam1.831112101092E. Gebek1.839101212113WSep 16 · 07:30F. Zurek2.7551270R. Adam1.401114113WSep 16 · 06:00R. Adam1.6781111123I. Taichman2.101168101
J. Hrabec10
WSep 21 · 20:00J. Hrabec1.4071111113M. Blejchar2.75119581LSep 21 · 18:00J. Hrabec1.50811111482T. Milota2.501113412113WSep 19 · 08:59J. Hrabec1.40111011113M. Blejchar2.75812591WSep 19 · 08:00J. Hrabec1.4411118113M. Blejchar2.63621141LSep 19 · 07:30P. Osvald2.2513811113J. Hrabec1.581111861LSep 19 · 06:00J. Hrabec2.2567111162P. Hanel1.57111148113WSep 13 · 13:30M. Blejchar1.951611751J. Hrabec1.7518411113WSep 13 · 12:00J. Hrabec1.36115118113M. Blejchar3.0091101162LSep 13 · 11:30F. Zurek3.50111166113J. Hrabec1.2885111162WSep 13 · 10:00J. Hrabec1.67116114143R. Adam2.10911611122
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